Friday, June 20, 2025

Polaris of Enlightenment

Gas shortage looms in Germany ahead of winter

The energy crisis in Europe

Published 15 August 2023
– By Editorial Staff
Acute gas shortages are expected in Germany, Bloomberg reports (file photo).
2 minute read

Germany will continue to face critical gas shortages if it does not urgently expand its infrastructure to mitigate the effects of cold weather. According to a recent report by financial news agency Bloomberg, the gas shortage is likely to last until at least early 2027.

More liquefied natural gas terminals with greater storage capacity and additional pipeline connections are some of the measures needed to secure Germany’s energy supply, the country’s main gas storage operator INES said on Thursday.

Currently, “storage levels are developing positively” and are almost 90 percent full, but a harsh winter could still threaten Germany’s energy supply, the Bloomberg report warned.

The danger of gas shortages during cold temperatures remains and will continue to accompany us until winter of 2026/2027 unless further infrastructure measures are taken, INES chief Sebastian Bleschke told the news agency.

The INES manager expresses that there is a need for measures until the winter of 2026/27.

Only after that date will gas usage, based on assumptions made in European 10-year network development plans, fall to such degree that no further infrastructure measures are necessary.

Germany, which relied on Russia for 40 percent of its gas needs before 2022, was one of the hardest hit by reduced Russian energy supplies last year. Supplies were either sharply reduced or cut off altogether after the EU imposed sanctions on Moscow.

Germany has been able to build up an acceptable gas stockpile over the past year thanks to a mild winter, as well as measures to reduce electricity consumption and the construction of liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals. However, according to the Bloomberg report, the risk of a potential gas crisis remains as winter approaches.

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Power shortages threaten southern Sweden this winter

The energy crisis in Europe

Published 17 June 2025
– By Editorial Staff
Residents in southern Sweden can expect sky-high electricity prices this winter.
2 minute read

Svenska kraftnät (the Swedish national grid operator) warns of a critical electricity shortage in southern Sweden this winter equivalent to the output of seven nuclear reactors. A new report shows that electricity area SE4, southern Götaland including Skåne, is particularly vulnerable.

The forecast points to a power shortage of 7,700 MWh/h during a normal winter in SE3 and SE4. The reason is insufficient plannable production in relation to consumption.

Malin Johansson, energy and climate manager at the industry organization IKEM, is calling for quick solutions:

This confirms that we need to quickly build new capacity in the form of gas turbines and batteries that can even out the peaks and cope with the power demand in southern Sweden, especially during cold, windless winter days.

Imports do not offer a reliable solution either, as the electricity systems of neighboring countries are often just as strained:

Analyses of import opportunities from neighboring countries show that most, like Sweden, are dependent on imports in strained situations. This indicates that import opportunities from our neighboring countries at these times may be limited if shortages occur simultaneously”, writes Svenska kraftnät.

– It’s no news that if there’s no wind in Denmark, there’s no wind in Skåne either. Every country must take responsibility for its own electricity system. We can’t rely on neighboring countries, says Malin Johansson.

“Must be able to produce around the clock”

Svenska kraftnät highlights consumer flexibility and storage as solutions, but Johansson is skeptical:

– Why should we create a market where industry is forced to be flexible? It’s not as if we have a high added value from selling electricity to other countries. Industry must be able to produce around the clock to promote growth and prosperity in Sweden.

The transmission capacity between SE3 and SE4 is insufficient during peak hours, which drives up electricity prices in SE4. The ERAA 2024 report confirms that margins are shrinking in southern Sweden, where demand is increasing while transmission from the north is limited. The situation requires urgent measures to secure the electricity supply.

The report points out that Europe’s electricity system is at risk of becoming increasingly vulnerable to power shortages. Despite extensive investments in wind and solar power, there is no realistic plan to replace fossil fuel-based electricity production that is being phased out for economic reasons. As a result, new capacity may not be built in time, which threatens security of supply.

EU’s new regulations threaten the future of wood-burning stoves

The energy crisis in Europe

Published 21 March 2025
– By Editorial Staff
For many, the wood-burning stove is not only a source of energy but also a symbol of tradition and independence.
4 minute read

EU plans to tighten rules on wood-burning stoves and fireplaces have become a source of debate within the EU and not least in Sweden. Stricter emission limits and electricity connection requirements risk increasing costs for users by thousands of euros a year and affecting a beloved heating method.

The European Commission is currently drafting a new Ecodesign Regulation and plans to introduce it in 2027. The proposal lowers the soot particle limit from 1 500 milligrams to 500 milligrams and requires new stoves to be connected to the electricity grid for automatic combustion control.

The aim is to reduce emissions and support the EU’s climate goals, but the rules only apply to new installations – not to existing stoves.

Critics have reacted strongly to the proposal. The industry association CEFACD, which represents manufacturers of stoves and fireplaces, warns of soaring costs and fewer people upgrading to modern models.

“Threat to Swedish interests”

Frank Kienle from CEFACD states in conversation with Samnytt: – Higher prices can discourage upgrades, which harms both the environment and the industry.

– Some development is needed. It’s the same with the car industry. The lifetime of a car is maybe ten to fifteen years. For a stove it is a bit different. It can easily last for fifty years.

Swedish politicians, such as Beatrice Timgren (SD), agree and point to the risks for Sweden’s total defense, where stoves play an important role during power outages.

– The proposal now on the table is a direct threat to Swedish interests. Our total defense cannot be made dependent on the electricity grid, says Beatrice Timgren.

Translation of above tweet: “Who is affected by this proposal? There are at least 1.9 million different types of stoves and fireplaces in Sweden today. Like almost everything else in our lives, they are subject to EU micromanagement. A plethora of directives, regulations and decisions from Brussels govern every detail of the design of the products used to heat many of our cottages and houses.

House, villa and cottage owners can be forced to pay for expensive renovations and be forced to use less efficient heating systems. This is an ill-considered blow to the Swedish dream of disconnected and natural cottage life.

The rules are now proposed to be changed and will be discussed in the Commission’s expert group Forum on Ecodesign and Energy Labeling”

“The wood stove rebellion”

Sweden has a history of resistance to similar rules. In 2017, the National Board of Housing, Building and Planning introduced a ban on new installations of older wood-burning stoves, but after protests via the Facebook group “Vedspisupproret” (The Wood Stove Rebellion), the authority backed down two years later.

The movement brought together thousands of Swedes to defend the cultural and practical value of the stove, and the government was even sent logs to protest.

The current proposal is causing concern among small house owners, especially in sparsely populated areas. Electricity connection requirements work poorly for holiday homes without access to the electricity grid, with estimated costs of tens of thousands of euros for some users.

The industry argues that modern stoves meet the high standards set by the 2022 ecodesign rules, which reduce emissions by up to 90% compared to older models.

However, the EU’s work on the regulation has faced obstacles. Euractiv reported in February this year that the European Commission is postponing the presentation of the draft due to technical adjustments.

Timgren’s comments capture the frustration of many who see the stove as part of Swedish life, not just a source of heat. Meanwhile, European manufacturers risk losing ground to cheaper Chinese alternatives, according to CEFACD

Translation of above tweet: “What might the cost be? If cottage owners want to heat their houses, they will have to arrange their own electricity supply. If you live 600 meters from a connection point, such a connection costs SEK 148 875 (€13,600), according to Vattenfall.  There are over 610,000 holiday homes in Sweden. This is an attack on Swedish cottage life.”

Tradition and independence.

A 2018 European Commission report shows that domestic wood burning causes over 45% of fine particle emissions in the EU, despite accounting for only 2.7% of energy use.

Proponents argue that stricter requirements will improve air quality, while others wonder whether better information on burning techniques would be more effective. The debate thus reflects a difficult balancing act between different interest groups.

Past protests show that stoves are not just about heating, but also about tradition and independence. As the EU fine-tunes the rules, it will be crucial to balance environmental benefits against practical and cultural needs a challenge that is expected to continue to shape the debate until 2027.

Reports: US in secret talks to restart Nord Stream 2

The energy crisis in Europe

Published 5 March 2025
– By Editorial Staff
Nord Stream 2 was attacked in the fall of 2022.
2 minute read

US President Donald Trump’s special envoy, Richard Grenell, has traveled to Switzerland on several occasions to negotiate the possible reactivation of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, reports German newspaper Bild, citing sources with knowledge of the matter.

Nord Stream 2, intended to complement the already operational Nord Stream 1, was completed in 2021 but never put into operation. In September 2022, the pipelines were subjected to a series of underwater explosions, leading to serious leaks and impacting European energy supplies.

German media have previously suggested that a Ukrainian team was behind the sabotage. Award-winning journalist Seymour Hersh argues instead that the blast was a sabotage operation led primarily by the US and Norway.

A section of the pipeline is still intact and filled with gas, but Germany has refrained from using it for political reasons.

According to the report, the deal would provide economic benefits to the US if gas flows resume after a potential ceasefire in Ukraine and a lifting of sanctions.

Richard Grenell was previously ambassador to Berlin during Trump’s first term, and is now his specific envoy for “special missions”.

According to Bild, Grenell made several unofficial trips to Nord Stream’s operator in Zug, Switzerland, to negotiate a deal.

American investors

During his first term, Trump was critical of Nord Stream 2 and also imposed sanctions on the project. However, since taking office in his second, current term, he has pushed for closer relations between the US and Russia and hinted at possible easing of trade restrictions.

According to reports, US investors would prevent the bankruptcy of Nord Stream 2 by buying a stake in the company. They would act as intermediaries for the delivery of Russian gas to Germany and Central Europe via the pipeline.

In addition, Washington would gain significant influence over Germany’s energy supply, according to Bild, which stresses that the US government would not be directly involved, but that US financial players planned to participate in the deal.

According to Bild, the German government has not been involved in the reported talks, and sources in Berlin say they were unaware of Richard Grenell’s meetings in Switzerland. Grenell himself has denied any involvement.

Meanwhile, the Financial Times stated on Sunday that the talks were allegedly brokered by Matthias Warnig, former chief executive of the Switzerland-based Nord Stream 2 operator.

The Financial Times further claimed that one of the US-led consortia has already drawn up a plan for a deal with Russia’s energy giant Gazprom. A deal they say could be finalized after sanctions against Moscow are lifted.

Price explosion in the Baltics after disconnection from the Russian grid

The energy crisis in Europe

Published 14 February 2025
– By Editorial Staff
1 minute read

The Baltic countries have recently disconnected from the Russian electricity grid and joined the European system. Electricity prices in the countries are now skyrocketing.

Over the weekend, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania disconnected from the Russian grid and connected to the grid in Finland, Sweden and Poland. Shortly afterwards, electricity prices rose sharply, Euronews reports.

Last week, the price of electricity in Estonia stood at €126 per MWh. After the switch, it has risen to €191 per MWh, the highest recorded so far in 2025.

However, the Estonian electricity and gas network operator says that the price increase is mainly due to weather conditions and the market situation.

Less wind this week, higher electricity consumption due to colder weather and a slight increase in gas price”, it states.

Gas prices have reached record levels on the Dutch TTF market in recent years, but are expected to fall. Meanwhile, the Lithuanian-Swedish Estlink 2 submarine cable has recently been damaged by an anchor, which has negatively affected electricity prices.

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