Saturday, September 27, 2025

Polaris of Enlightenment

Estimate: Half a million Ukrainian soldiers killed or wounded

The war in Ukraine

Published 28 November 2024
– By Editorial Staff
Funeral of a Ukrainian soldier in Ternopil.
2 minute read

Policymakers, analysts and experts alike have concluded that Ukraine cannot continue the war much longer because it is running out of trained soldiers.

The extent of Ukrainian losses has not been made public, but estimates by the UK’s The Economist put the figure at around 500,000 soldiers either killed or so badly injured that they cannot continue fighting.

Based on leaked or published intelligence reports, statements by defense officials and researchers, and open sources, the estimates suggest that up to 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed in the war – and another 400,000 seriously injured.

If accurate, this means that almost one in 20 Ukrainian men of fighting age has been killed since February 2022.

As neither Ukraine nor Russia comment on their own losses, it is difficult to get clarity on the real death toll, and it should be added that figures of 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers killed are not new but have been circulating in various contexts since the end of 2022 – which is why the number of soldiers killed may also be significantly higher than The Economist’s estimate.

Estimates vary widely

Already in November 2022, for example, EU leader Ursula von der Leyen was harshly criticized by the leadership in Kiev and its allies after she said in a filmed speech that 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed at the time – a statement that was then cut.

As for Russian casualties, the situation is similar, with different sources giving different estimates ranging from 350,000 Russian soldiers killed and wounded to over 750,000.

Critics have also pointed out that the information on Russian losses often comes from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense or the United States, which has a vested interest in exaggerating the losses of the opposing side, and that it is thus also very difficult to assess the truth.

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Arms industry surges on stock market after Trump’s statements

The war in Ukraine

Published 24 September 2025
– By Editorial Staff
M109 howitzer, manufactured by British defense contractor BAE Systems – Europe's largest arms manufacturer.
2 minute read

Arms companies’ shares are soaring following Donald Trump’s latest statements about Russia and NATO.

The president urged NATO countries to shoot down Russian aircraft that violate their airspace, while promising to continue delivering weapons to NATO and claiming that Ukraine can defeat Russia and reclaim its entire territory.

I think Ukraine, with the support of the European Union, is in a position to fight and WIN all of Ukraine back in its original form”, wrote Trump.

He also emphasized that Ukraine “might even be able to go further than that” and conquer Russian territory, promising to continue delivering weapons to NATO member countries.

“We will continue to supply weapons to NATO for NATO to do what they want with them. Good luck to all!”

Saab and European defense companies lead gains

Trump’s statements had an immediate effect on the stock market.

A basket of European arms and military companies rose by a full 2.8 percent following the president’s comments. German Rheinmetall increased 1.4 percent, British BAE Systems 1.6 percent – and Swedish aerospace and defense company Saab AB jumped nearly five percent to a new record level.

In Asia, the gains were even more pronounced. South Korean Hanwha Aerospace, the country’s largest weapons producer, rose 5.9 percent. The company has recently held talks with several Western European countries about contributing to expanded weapons production. Korea Aerospace Industries and Hyundai Rotem increased over four percent each, while Japanese IHI surged nearly ten percent.

The defense industry has already enjoyed strong momentum on stock exchanges for some time, where continued geopolitical tensions and conflicts, Trump’s war rhetoric and expectations of growing military budgets are driving up interest further and providing new price rallies worldwide.

Trump: NATO should shoot down Russian aircraft

The war in Ukraine

Published 24 September 2025
– By Editorial Staff
Russian aircraft should be shot down for airspace violations, according to Trump, who now suddenly believes that Ukraine can win the war on the battlefield.
4 minute read

US President Donald Trump answered “yes” when asked on Tuesday whether NATO states should shoot down Russian aircraft that violate their airspace. At the same time, he claims in a new post that Ukraine can reclaim all lost territory – and potentially expand beyond its original borders.

— Yes, I do, Trump said at a joint press conference with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyj, when asked whether the military alliance should shoot down Russian aircraft that violate member countries’ airspace.

In a longer post on his own platform Truth Social, Trump goes on the offensive against Russia and describes the country as a “paper tiger” in deep economic crisis.

“After getting to know and fully understand the Ukraine/Russia Military and Economic situation and, after seeing the Economic trouble it is causing Russia, I think Ukraine, with the support of the European Union, is in a position to fight and WIN all of Ukraine back in its original form”, the president writes.

Trump further claims that Russia has fought “aimlessly for three and a half years” in a war that “should have taken a Real Military Power less than a week to win”.

“This is not distinguishing Russia. In fact, it is very much making them look like ‘a paper tiger”, Trump continues in the post.

“Time for Ukraine to act”

Trump goes so far as to suggest that Ukraine can not only reclaim all occupied areas – but potentially also conquer Russian territory.

“When the people living in Moscow, and all of the Great Cities, Towns, and Districts all throughout Russia, find out what is really going on with this War, the fact that it’s almost impossible for them to get Gasoline through the long lines that are being formed, and all of the other things that are taking place in their War Economy, where most of their money is being spent on fighting Ukraine, which has Great Spirit, and only getting better, Ukraine would be able to take back their Country in its original form and, who knows, maybe even go further than that!”

He describes how the original borders from where the war started are “very much an option” with time, patience and economic support from Europe and NATO.

“Putin and Russia are in BIG Economic trouble, and this is the time for Ukraine to act”.

Russia: Fabricated provocations

Trump’s statements about shooting down Russian aircraft come after Estonia last week claimed that three Russian MIG-31 aircraft violated the country’s airspace. Moscow has denied the allegations and says the aircraft did not deviate from their routine flight path, and argues that NATO lacks evidence that any actual violation occurred.

Tallinn, Estonia demanded urgent consultations with alliance members under NATO’s Article 4, which led to Tuesday’s crisis meeting in Brussels, Belgium.

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte explained that the alliance decides on a case-by-case basis whether to shoot down aircraft that violate airspace, depending on the threat level. In the alleged Estonian incident, “NATO forces promptly intercepted and escorted the aircraft without escalation as no immediate threat was assessed”, he said after the meeting.

Earlier this month, Poland accused Russia of sending at least 19 drones into Polish airspace – a claim Moscow dismissed as groundless. The only damage from the incident was reportedly caused by a missile fired from a Polish F-16 aircraft, which hit a residential building, reported the news website Rzeczpospolita.

Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova called the incident in Poland a fabricated provocation intended to “undermine a political settlement of the Ukraine conflict” and Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov emphasized that the allegations “have never been supported by any reliable data or convincing arguments”.

“Will continue to deliver weapons”

In his Truth Social post, Trump concludes by promising more American weapons to the military alliance’s member countries:

“We will continue to supply weapons to NATO for NATO to do what they want with them. Good luck to all!”

The statements mark a significantly more hostile line toward Russia than previously. During his campaign, he repeatedly promised to end the war within 24 hours and criticized the Biden administration’s extensive support for Ukraine.

Trump has also previously argued that Volodymyr Zelensky bears significant responsibility for a war that cannot be won, called him a “dictator” and described him as “the world’s greatest salesman” who goes home from every US visit with 100 billion dollars.

Ukrainian weapons factory in Denmark – citizens barred from appeals

The war in Ukraine

Published 8 September 2025
– By Editorial Staff
The factory in Skrydstrup, Denmark, will primarily produce rocket fuel for the "Flamingo" cruise missile.
2 minute read

Ukrainian weapons manufacturer Fire Point is establishing a rocket fuel factory in Skrydstrup, Denmark. To expedite the establishment, the Danish government is using a controversial law that bypasses citizens’ right to appeal – and therefore does not need to consider local residents’ concerns.

Just on the other side of the fence from Skrydstrup Air Base, where Denmark’s new F-35 fighter jets are stationed, Ukrainian weapons company Fire Point is set to begin production of solid rocket fuel on December 1st. The announcement came during a press conference with Danish Defense Minister Troels Lund Poulsen (Liberal Party).

— We are proud to welcome them to Denmark. As a country, we are now contributing to ensuring that Ukraine can fight the important battle against the superior power Russia, claims the minister, who has personally visited the company in Ukraine.

Fire Point is behind Ukraine’s new cruise missile “Flamingo”, which according to reports was recently used against a Russian base in Crimea. The weapon reportedly has a range of 3,000 kilometers and has been described by President Volodymyr Zelensky as the country’s “most successful” missile.

It is precisely the solid rocket fuel for this missile that will now be produced in Skrydstrup, where local residents have expressed strong concerns about potential security risks.

“Dialogue” to reassure citizens

To enable the rapid establishment, the Danish government is using the criticized law that removes citizens’ right to appeal and gives authorities free rein to bypass other laws when a project is deemed to serve essential national defense goals or civil preparedness purposes.

Local residents have reacted with concern about having a rocket fuel factory in their vicinity, and a public meeting is being held on Saturday, where both the defense minister and Business Minister Morten Bødskov (Social Democrats) will meet with worried citizens.

— I understand very well the many concerns that potentially arise in and around Skrydstrup, admits Troels Lund Poulsen.

Haderslev’s mayor Mads Skau (Liberal Party) is trying to balance between the government’s decision and dissatisfied citizens’ concerns.

— We will ensure that it remains safe for citizens to live in the area. We do this through dialogue. I have told the ministers that it is important they keep citizens informed about what is happening.

“Hundreds of jobs”

Business Minister Bødskov is careful to emphasize that the factory will create “several hundred jobs”, primarily for unskilled workers.

Despite using the controversial law, he insists that safety will not be compromised:

— The requirements that exist for safety distances to the surroundings we do not touch. The same applies to requirements for transporting rocket fuel. What applies today will also apply tomorrow.

Von der Leyen: EU could send tens of thousands of soldiers to Ukraine

The war in Ukraine

Published 1 September 2025
– By Editorial Staff
According to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, it is obvious that the EU will continue financing Ukraine's military.
3 minute read

European leaders are working on what European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen calls “quite precise plans” for troop deployments in Ukraine following a potential peace agreement.

However, how this would be financed and what powers the troops would have remains unclear.

In an interview with Financial Times, von der Leyen claims the plans have full American support and that President Trump has promised American presence as backup.

— Security guarantees are paramount and absolutely crucial. We have a clear road map and we had an agreement in the White House and this work is going forward very well, states the European Commission President.

According to the EU leader, the troop deployment could involve tens of thousands of European soldiers, supported by American command and control systems. However, exactly how many countries would participate or what their mandate would be is not clear at present.

The plans are said to have been discussed at last month’s meeting in Washington between Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and European leaders. The same group is expected to meet again in Paris on September 4th, this time at the invitation of French President Emmanuel Macron.

Sudden confidence in Trump

After European leaders spent months worrying about Trump’s statements about quickly ending the war and reducing American support to Ukraine, von der Leyen now presents him as a reliable partner.

— Putin has not changed, he is a predator. Trump wants peace and Putin is not coming to the negotiation table. He has a negative experience with Putin, more and more Putin does not do what he says, she claims.

Defense ministers from the so-called coalition are said to have met last week according to von der Leyen and “worked out pretty precise plans”. At the same time, she acknowledges that troop deployments are among the most sensitive decisions a nation can make.

— Deploying troops is one of the most important sovereign decisions of a nation, but the sense of urgency is very high. It’s moving forward. It’s really taking shape, says von der Leyen.

Who will pay the bill?

The EU leader signals that EU taxpayers will have to bear a significant part of the financing of Ukraine’s defense even after a peace agreement. The European Commission will examine new funding sources for what she calls “sustainable financing of the Ukrainian armed forces as a security guarantee”.

— After any peace deal, Kyiv would need quite a sizeable number of soldiers and they need good salaries and of course, modern equipment it’s for sure the EU that will have to chip in, she continues.

In addition to existing support, according to von der Leyen “an extra payment” will be provided for the Ukrainian armed forces. Member countries are also urged to use a loan fund of €150 billion for continued weapons purchases for Ukraine.

Despite the ambitious plans, there are still no answers to fundamental questions about how long a potential deployment would last, under what legal framework it would take place, and what happens if not all EU countries want to participate.

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