A new report predicts that white Britons will be a minority in Britain within four decades.
By analyzing migration, birth rates and mortality by the end of the century, researchers conclude that the proportion of white Britons could fall from today’s 73% to 57% by 2050 – and fall below 50% by 2063.
The research is led by Professor Matt Goodwin of Buckingham University. According to the analysis, the proportion of white British people could fall as low as 33.7% by the end of the century.
Meanwhile, the proportion of foreign-born and second-generation immigrants is expected to rise from less than 20% to 33.5% within the next 25 years. By 2100, it is estimated that six out of ten UK residents will either have been born abroad or have at least one immigrant parent. The Muslim population, currently around 7%, is expected to grow to 11.2% in 25 years, reaching 19.2% by the turn of the century.
Professor Goodwin, also an honorary professor at Kent University, stresses that the research is based on data from the UK Office for National Statistics and the 2022 census. He says the projections raise “deep questions about Britain’s ability to absorb and manage this scale of demographic change“.
According to him, the development risks raising “considerable anxiety, concern and political opposition” among voters who advocate reducing immigration to preserve “the symbols, traditions, culture and ways of life of the traditional majority group“.
“A nation of strangers”
– Their concerns will need to be acknowledged, respected and addressed if Britain is to avoid considerable political turbulence and polarisation in the years and decades to come, he stresses.
The report is published in the wake of record net migration of 906,000 under the ostensibly Conservative Tory government in 2023. Meanwhile, Labour has unveiled a White Paper in June with proposals to restrict migrants’ rights to live, work and study in the country – but many are skeptical that politicians really have the will to stop, or even slow down, mass migration.
– By the end of this century, most people on these islands will not be able to trace their roots in this country back more than one or two generations. This raises enormous questions about our leaders’ ability to bring people together around a common identity, values and culture, and avoid the risk of becoming what Sir Keir Starmer called in May ‘a nation of strangers’, the researcher stresses.
The 2022 census already revealed that whites have become a minority in major British cities such as London and Birmingham. London in particular has been ruled for the past 10 years by the British-Pakistani mayor Sadiq Khan – who himself is very much in favor of mass immigration from the Third World.
– Our capital’s diversity is our greatest strength, he said a few years ago, expressing disappointment that this diversity was not celebrated wholeheartedly enough – and that many of London’s streets and public spaces still bore names associated with the colonial era.
