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Swedish authorities warn of nuclear armageddon

The new cold war

Published 21 November 2024
– By Editorial Staff
Carl-Oskar Bohlin, Minister for Civil Defence, holds up the doomsday pamphlet.

The Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB) has issued a stark warning, urging citizens to prepare for potential terror attacks, deadly pandemics, airstrikes – and even nuclear war.

Despite the apocalyptic tone, which suggests that full-scale world war may be imminent, Minister Carl-Oskar Bohlin insists that the purpose of the information is actually to “create calm”.

MSB, the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency, has released a new version of its emergency preparedness brochure, If Crisis or War Comes, which is now being sent out to all Swedish households. The document is marked by a sense of impending doom and a bleak outlook on the near future.

Notably, the new brochure is significantly thicker than the previous one from 2018 (31 pages compared to 20). MSB claims this is because “the global situation has deteriorated significantly since the earlier brochure was distributed”.

“War is ongoing in our surroundings, extreme weather is becoming more common. Terror threats, cyberattacks, and disinformation are being used to harm and influence us. Sweden has also joined NATO”, it states, adding that everyone must therefore “stand together and take responsibility for our country”.

The agency also warns that cyberattacks, influence campaigns, terrorism, and sabotage “can occur at any time, and much is already happening here and now”, declaring to the Swedish people that they cannot take “their freedom for granted” and must show “the will and courage to defend our open society – even if it involves sacrifices”.

The tone of the new MSB brochure is very alarmist. Photo: MSB

Everyone must “mobilize”

It also highlights Sweden’s NATO membership as an essential part of the country’s resilience against alleged external threats, asserting that “the purpose of the alliance is for member states to be so strong together that it deters others from attacking us”.

Swedes are told that war or an acute threat of war could be expected very soon and that the whole society must then “mobilize to face an aggressor and to ensure that the most essential aspects of society function”.

“Total defense duty applies to all Swedish citizens, both those living in Sweden and abroad… In the event of heightened preparedness, you are required to report to the location specified in your wartime placement order”, it emphasizes.

MSB further urges Swedes to learn how the various warning systems and alarms function, including how to differentiate between an air raid alarm and a preparedness alarm.

“Go immediately to the nearest bomb shelter, basement, or other protected area. You are better protected indoors than outdoors, especially in a room without windows”, it advises.

Nuclear and biological weapons

The agency also claims there is a risk that Sweden could be attacked with nuclear weapons and advises Swedes that “in the event of an attack with nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons”, they should “seek shelter in the same way as during an air raid” – preferably in a bomb shelter.

“After a few days, radiation levels will have decreased significantly”, it reassures.

“Bomb shelters protect against shockwaves and shrapnel from bombs. They also protect against shockwaves and heatwaves from nuclear weapons. Bomb shelters provide better protection than other places against radioactive fallout, gases from chemical weapons, and biological agents”, it further emphasizes.

Those without access to a bomb shelter are instead advised to seek out basements, garages, and underground subway stations – or to hide in tunnels or behind walls. If unable to reach such a location, people are instructed to crouch “in a trench or ditch” and remain there until authorities declare the danger is over.

In Ulf Kristersson’s Sweden, nuclear war is portrayed as imminent. Montage. Photo: Frankie Fouganthin/CC BY-SA 4.0, Vadimrysev/iStock

Share only “reliable sources”

According to MSB, Sweden is not only at risk of nuclear war but also faces an urgent threat from propaganda and disinformation.

“Foreign powers and other actors outside Sweden use disinformation, deception, and propaganda to influence us. Attempts to influence occur daily, primarily online and on social media. The goal is to create distrust and undermine our will to defend ourselves”, it states.

Psychological warfare is said to occur through the spreading of stories that are “false or partially true but taken out of context” or through fake video clips, voice recordings, and images. Hostile actors are also claimed to wage war against Sweden by “stirring emotions around an issue or event to make us anxious or suspicious of one another”.

This type of attack on Sweden is best countered by citizens remaining vigilant and sharing information only from what is described as “reliable sources”. The brochure does not explicitly specify which sources it considers reliable, apart from urging people to seek “verified information from authorities”.

“Extreme weather” threatens Sweden

Cyberattacks and terrorist attacks are highlighted, with the brochure declaring that “terror attacks and armed violence can target people or critical infrastructure such as electricity supply and transportation” – and here, too, citizens are urged to be ready to flee and seek shelter if they witness an attack.

“Extreme weather” is also said to threaten the Swedish population, with MSB claiming that “extreme weather such as torrential rain, flooding, and heatwaves is becoming more common” and that “the risk of natural disasters such as landslides and forest fires is increasing”.

Allegedly deadly pandemics are also said to threaten Sweden. Photo: PIKSEL/iStock

“If a contagious disease begins to spread, authorities will issue advice on how to protect yourself and others… Help reduce the spread by following the authorities’ recommendations”, it states.

Attracts international attention

The brochure also contains more everyday tips on home preparedness and emergency planning, such as how to stop bleeding and how to prepare for extended power outages. However, it is the apocalyptic tone that has drawn strong reactions.

Swedish authorities urging their population to prepare for potential nuclear attacks has also attracted international attention, with Britain’s The Times writing that Sweden appears to be preparing for a “global apocalypse”, while France’s Le Parisien merely notes that Swedes are being urged to prepare for war.

Germany’s Focus claims that the entire brochure is imbued with a “doomsday atmosphere”, and several other media outlets have expressed surprise over its contents and wording.

Save the Children, in turn, warns that the alarmist tone risks causing fear among children, while others point out the difficulty of focusing on daily life while being instructed to prepare for nuclear attacks.

Carl-Oskar Bohlin and MSB’s Charlotte Petri Gornitzka present the brochure. Photo: Government Offices of Sweden/Niklas Forsström

“Already happening here and now”

Carl-Oskar Bohlin (M), Minister for Civil Defense, states that the purpose of the brochure is to “inform” and “create calm” and maintains that the threat of war against Sweden is not immediately imminent.

On the other hand, Bohlin adds, influence campaigns, terrorism, and sabotage “can occur at any time”, and much of it is said to be “already happening here and now”.

The minister further states that Swedes should not “run into the woods and cut themselves off from the rest of society”, but instead focus on being prepared, taking responsibility, and showing solidarity with the rest of the community.

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Swedish Major General: “Leave the Ottawa Treaty and buy anti-personnel mines”

The new cold war

Published 16 April 2025
– By Editorial Staff
Karlis Neretnieks argues that today's anti-personnel mines cannot be compared to those that kill thousands of civilians every year.

Recently The Nordic Times highlighted how the defense ministers of Poland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia announced that they intend to withdraw from the international convention banning the use of anti-personnel mines.

In early April, Finnish officials also confirmed that they are also preparing to withdraw from the Ottawa Treaty. Retired Swedish-Latvian Major General Karlis Neretnieks now wants Sweden to do the same and start buying “smart” anti-personnel mines.

– My opinion is clear. We should do what the Finns did, leave the Ottawa Agreement, and acquire anti-personnel mines, declares Neretnieks, who has also previously served as President of the Swedish National Defense College.

He explains that within the NATO military pact, there is a plan for the Swedish army to be able to move quickly to Finland and form joint defense forces with Finnish soldiers in the event of a possible Russian attack. In such a scenario, he argues, the armies of both countries must have similar rules of engagement.

– What should we do when Swedish commanders have to command Finnish units? Should a Swedish commander tell a Finnish commander that you are not allowed to use anti-personnel mines because you are under Swedish command? That’s not how it works in reality.

Kills thousands annually

Finland’s defense minister, Antti Häkkänen, insists that “mines are only for war” and “will not be scattered in the countryside“. However, over the years, anti-personnel mines have caused enormous civilian suffering and in 2021 alone, an estimated 5,500 people were killed by them many of them children.

Millions of undestroyed anti-personnel mines remain in former war zones around the world and can detonate at any time when someone accidentally steps on them. This is also one of the primary reasons why some 160 countries around the world have committed to stop stockpiling, producing or using them.

However, Neretnieks argues that today’s modern anti-personnel mines can be turned on and off by remote control and he emphasizes that some models stop working after a certain amount of time.

– The reason for removing the mines was that they were often left behind after the fighting was over. Then they were dangerous for children, farmers and anyone walking around the terrain… I’m advocating that we abandon the Ottawa agreement and get these anti-personnel mines with self-destruction, he continues.

“Were far too enthusiastic”

Sweden signed the convention in 1998, the year after it was drafted, but the major general says it was a big mistake.

– I think we were far too enthusiastic about a ban at the height of the discussions in 1996-1997. It was quite obvious that the Russians had no intention of signing anything like that, he states.

It should be noted that it is not only Russia that has chosen not to sign the convention. Major military powers such as the US and China have so far also refused to sign the Ottawa Treaty, as have Israel, India, Iran and both North and South Korea.

Moderate Youth League: Raise the retirement age to finance Sweden’s rearmament

The new cold war

Published 15 April 2025
– By Editorial Staff
Raising the retirement age to fund the Swedish defense effort is not expected to be well received by the electorate.

As reported by The Nordic Times, Swedish politicians have decided to borrow at least SEK 300 billion (€26 billion) for what is described as the “biggest rearmament since the Cold War”.

Douglas Thor, chair of The Moderate Youth League (MUF), fully supports the military investment – but emphasizes that it should be paid for by older Swedes through a higher retirement age.

The governing politicians agree that it is reasonable to borrow the equivalent of €4,400 for each Swede of working age for the military project, and analysts have noted that it will largely be future generations of Swedes who will have to pay for the decisions made today.

– It’s clear that future generations will have to take a bigger hit than if we were to just go on this year’s budget. But it also seems reasonable that future generations should help finance reconstruction because it will also benefit them, commented, for example, Daniel Waldenström, professor of economics, and continued:

– It’s simply that they will have to pay a bit more tax as a result of this. They will have to pay taxes to finance our repayment of these loans.

“In the long run, everyone will pay”

Just like the other establishment parties’ youth wings, MUF applauds the military investment, but believes older Swedes must bear a greater share of the cost – not just the younger generation.

– Borrowing money is not free. The costs are postponed to the future, which means that the younger generation has to pay. We are happy to contribute, but it is unreasonable that we alone should bear the cost, they say.

Thor’s solution is to raise the age at which older people can start drawing their pension from the current 63 to 67.

– Today, people can start drawing their income and premium pensions at the age of 63. We believe it is reasonable to raise it. One possible age is 67, confirms the Muf leader, who states that raising the retirement age is a much better option than raising taxes.

– In the long run, everyone will pay because we are all getting older. When our country has faced difficult challenges in the past, we have coped by working more, Thor argues.

Unpopular measure

Raising the retirement age to fund military spending is not expected to be a particularly popular message with voters but Thor says this does not matter much.

– There are many issues that were previously unthinkable, but which have been reconsidered in this serious international situation. For example, loan financing has been reconsidered. It should be possible to do the same with regard to this issue.

According to Muf’s calculations, if older Swedes worked two years longer than they do today, this would mean around SEK 30 billion (€2.6 billion) extra to the public purse annually about half the contribution needed to meet the government’s target of spending 3.5% of GDP on defense.

International law expert on the Swedish suicide drones: “Risk that civilians are affected”

The new cold war

Published 10 April 2025
– By Editorial Staff
Ove Bring points out that commanders who accidentally injure or kill civilians can be prosecuted for this - but that it usually requires that the deaths are extensive.

The Swedish military plans to acquire several million military drones. This includes so-called “suicide drones” – and in two years’ time, Swedish kamikaze drone systems could be in operation.

Ove Bring, an expert in international law, notes that the type of drone is certainly not prohibited under international law – but that there is always a risk of civilians being killed.

The drones are equipped with explosive charges and, with the help of artificial intelligence, can fly around until they find their target – whereupon they fly into it and explode.

– A human operator sets them off and then they can fly on their own, find targets and attack targets on their own, explained AI and weapons scientist Arash Heydarian Pashakhanlou in 2022, clarifying that the suicide drones “can fly into the target on their own, explode and destroy the target”.

Many observers are critical of the technology development. The ability of unmanned aerial vehicles to kill and destroy on their own risks blurring the lines of responsibility, increasing the risk of civilian casualties and wrong decisions being made.

Others have warned that warfare is being dehumanized and that we are moving towards a development where autonomous weapon systems make lethal decisions without human intervention.

– A machine should not be allowed to decide on the life and death of a human being, says Deborah Solomon of the Swedish Peace Society.

“There is the risk that civilians are affected”

Ove Bring, professor emeritus of international law and former advisor to the Swedish Foreign Ministry on international law, admits that the use of drones can result in civilian deaths – but also emphasizes that suicide drones do not violate international law.

– This type of drone is not prohibited by international law as it is designed to hit military targets, but there is always the risk that civilians are affected, he says to The Nordic Times.

He notes that commanders who, in violation of the humanitarian law principles of precaution and proportionality, happen to harm civilians can also be prosecuted for this – at least in theory. However, this usually presupposes that the injuries or deaths are extensive.

If, on the other hand, a military target is hit by the drones – but civilians are also killed during the same attack, this does not violate any laws or conventions, the professor says.

– If the military target is hit and civilians are exposed to minor collateral damage, it must be accepted as an inevitable part of warfare. It is not considered a war crime, he concludes.

Peace researcher urges diplomacy: “War leads to total destruction”

The new cold war

Published 10 April 2025
– By Editorial Staff
According to Frida Stranne, it is important that our leaders have the capacity for "strategic empathy".

As war rhetoric has escalated in recent years, advocates of peace and diplomacy have increasingly been met with suspicion, demonization, and stigmatization in public discourse – often accused of being either out of touch with reality or so-called “useful idiots” for the enemy.

However, Swedish peace researcher and US expert Frida Stranne notes that peace is neither frivolous nor naïve – but in fact “the only alternative to the total destruction of countries, societies and our shared environment.”.

Stopping a spiral of violence that risks leading us all to our deaths is one of the main tasks of politics. The dialogue that must precede peace requires far more intelligence and courage than pushing for increased militarization”, she wrote on Facebook, citing the Cuban Missile Crisis as a telling example.

John F. Kennedy, when he saved the world from nuclear war in 1962, understood the importance of understanding the interests and pretexts that drove his opponents. He also realized how poor intelligence (and propaganda from within his own ranks), political peer pressure, and an over-reliance on military solutions risked leading him to foolish and fatal decisions”, she continues.

According to Stranne, Kennedy also understood the importance of avoiding symbolic actions to satisfy public opinion – but lacked strategic thinking.

He realized that either he would contribute to an acceptable level of security for both the Soviets and the US, or no one would be safe”.

“Don’t have to be a pacifist”

Stranne points out that the Swedish diplomat Hans Blix similarly spoke of the need for “strategic empathy” – that is, it is the task of politicians to try to understand how other states or actors perceive the current situation, and what interests, fears or motives drive them to act as they do.

This does not mean sympathizing with them, but having the wisdom to understand their perspective in order to anticipate the other’s actions and thus make wiser decisions yourself – and avoid endless wars and, in the worst case, nuclear war”, she explains.

You don’t have to be a pacifist to talk about ending war and building a sustainable peace – in fact, you can be a staunch advocate of strong military defense. Nor do you need to be naïve about your opponent. But you do need to realize that more weapons alone can never bring stability and security as long as unresolved security dilemmas remain”, continues the peace researcher.

Looking away is the greatest cowardice

And above all, she stresses, our leaders need to abandon the idea that war can be understood in oversimplified terms of good and evil

Looking away from your own responsibility in a conflict is the most cowardly and dangerous thing of all.”.

Stranne also points out that in all wars – without exception – there are also interests that profit from war and rearmament and that have very extensive resources at their disposal that they can use to influence the public and their worldview in various ways.

We have endless knowledge of how this works and several horrifying examples of how we have been lured into senseless spirals of violence on false grounds. It is the role of the media to never lose sight of their task to critically examine power based on these experiences. And not to let social media feeds driven by emotions – and not by knowledge – define how war and peace should be described”, she concludes.

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