Saturday, November 8, 2025

Polaris of Enlightenment

Finnish military leaders want to re-militarize the Åland Islands

The new cold war

Published April 19, 2023 – By Editorial staff
Pekka Toveri wants to see the militarization of Åland, despite its internationally demilitarized status. On the right, the harbor in the central town of Mariehamn.

Up to half of the candidates in the parliamentary elections as well as former top military officers in Finland have expressed a desire to abolish the special international status of the autonomous Åland Islands as a demilitarized zone.

However, the statements are simultaneously being dismissed by experts in international law and also by Åland's experts in the field.

If it should ever become relevant, there must first be an initiative from the government, which must then be dealt with internationally, says Roger Nordlund, former speaker of the Ålandic parliament and Chairman of the Åland Islands Peace Institute.

Before the parliamentary elections in Finland in early April, almost half of the candidates in the Finnish state channel Yle's election compass stated that they wanted to abolish the demilitarized status of Åland. Among those is former General Pekka Toveri, the Defence Forces' Chief of Intelligence for 2019-2020, who was also elected to parliament for the right-wing National Coalition Party, which is now in the process of forming a new government.

Russia's warfare in Ukraine, a combination of Stalinist terror and looting, has shown that it does not shy away from brutal and criminal methods. Therefore, my opinion on abolishing demilitarization has been further strengthened in the past year, Toveri tells the Finnish newspaper Hufvudstadsbladet.

Ex-colonel Kjell Törner, commander of the Uusimaa Brigade 2014-2017, also expresses a desire to abolish the demilitarization, while the former commander of the Finnish Defence Forces, General Jarmo Lindberg, partly agrees.

In this situation, when Finland's security policy is in great upheaval, I believe that all aspects that promote the country's security should be openly reviewed and discussed, Lindberg tells Hufvudstadsbladet.

The Åland Islands Peace Institute, which focuses on peace research based on Åland's special international status, expresses itself in diplomatic terms about the demands for re-militarization of Åland. The institute's chairman Roger Nordlund, former Åland head of government and speaker of the Åland parliament, tells the public radio Ålands Radio that, he is not surprised by the call from Finnish politicians to militarize Åland in light of the general change in public opinion over the past year.

We have to think about the environment we are living in right now with the Ukraine war and the enormous change in the Finns' view of NATO, for example, from a minority in favor of NATO membership that in a short time changed to a strong majority in favor of Finland joining NATO. I think these things are somewhat connected, says Nordlund.

Roger Nordlund on the left together with Finnish Prime Minister Sanna Marin and Åland's Vice President Katrin Sjögren during Marin's visit to Åland in March. Photo: Government of Finland/CC BY 2.0

To abolish demilitarization, Finland would have to notify all ten states of the 1921 Convention on Åland, as well as Russia. However, given the international law surrounding Åland's status, Roger Nordlund does not believe that it is possible in practice to re-militarize Åland.

In peacetime, I think it is almost impossible to remilitarize Åland, but if it should ever become relevant, there must first be an initiative from the government, which must then be dealt with internationally. Then you have to remember that Russia is also a party to this, and you probably want to avoid that discussion as long as possible, he says.

International law expert Ove Bring describes demands to change Åland's status as "unrealistic" and says that there are no signs that NATO will demand the militarization of the islands in connection with Finland's entry into the military alliance.

There are no such signals at all, and the Finnish government has reminded NATO that Åland is demilitarized, says Bring in a comment to the Swedish newspaper DN.

Painting of the negotiations on the Åland issue at the League of Nations in Geneva in 1921.

Facts: Demilitarization of Åland

Åland's demilitarization and autonomy is the result of a conflict between Sweden and Finland that was resolved diplomatically in 1921 in the predecessor of the United Nations - the League of Nations - a solution that later became known as the Åland Model. The background was Finland's recent independence from Russia in 1917 and the so-called Åland Movement, which worked for Åland's accession to Sweden, something that was also seen as desirable by Sweden, primarily for military strategic reasons, as the islands are situated very close to Stockholm.

Åland became an autonomous part of Finland, with international guarantees from major powers such as Britain, France and Russia to preserve its Swedish language and culture. The demilitarization of Åland after the Crimean War in 1856 was also consolidated as a guarantee to Sweden that there would be no military activity or fortifications on the islands.

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Finnish region loses millions in revenue after border closure with Russia

The new cold war

Published November 5, 2025 – By Editorial staff
The border crossing between Russia (Svetogorsk) and Finland (Imatra)

The Finnish region of South Karelia has been severely impacted economically since Finland closed its border with Russia at the end of 2023. Tourism revenue has decreased by approximately one million euros per day, and hotels, restaurants and shops stand empty.

South Karelia is located closer to St. Petersburg than to Helsinki, the Finnish capital, and has maintained extensive economic ties with Russia for decades.

The region's economy has been built on cross-border tourism, shopping, timber trade and local jobs within the forest industry.

Finland's decision to close the 1,430-kilometer land border with Russia was motivated by accusations that Moscow had deliberately created an increased migrant flow from Africa and the Middle East to Finland. Moscow has in turn dismissed the accusations as "completely groundless".

Impact on local businesses

Hotels, restaurants and shops in the region now stand largely empty, reports Bloomberg.

Russian customers asked why we couldn’t stay open around the clock. They bought clothes in stacks – mostly the latest fashion and bling, but even winter coats were sold out by August, says Sari Tukiainen, who runs a shop in Imatra, a Finnish border town.

Due to decreased sales, Tukiainen plans to close the shop at the end of the year. Unemployment in Imatra has simultaneously risen to 15 percent, the highest in Finland, as factories and steel mills have reduced their workforce.

Historically, Finland has had a complex relationship with Russia. The country was part of the Russian Empire for over a century, and despite two wars with the Soviet Union during World War II, a friendly relationship was maintained during the Cold War.

After the war in Ukraine escalated in 2022, Finland was early to impose sanctions against Moscow. The country also abandoned its long-standing neutrality by joining the US-led military alliance NATO, a step that has further changed the economic and political dynamics in the region.

Spotify founder’s company may sell attack drones to Germany

The new cold war

Published October 30, 2025 – By Editorial staff
Daniel Ek with the HX-2 drone. German contract could generate billions in euros for Helsing.

The German government plans to award three companies contracts worth €1 billion for the delivery of kamikaze drones – one of them is Daniel Ek's military technology company Helsing.

The three companies expected to share the contract are the Ek-backed startup Helsing, German competitor Stark – which counts Silicon Valley billionaire Peter Thiel among its investors – and military-industrial giant Rheinmetall. Each company is expected to be awarded contracts of around €300 million each, according to sources speaking to the Financial Times.

No formal agreements have yet been signed, but if the contracts are approved by the German Bundestag's budget committee, they will likely be the largest deals for both young startups to date.

Under the agreement, the three companies are to deliver up to 12,000 kamikaze drones, though only a portion of that number will be delivered initially. The drones are expected to be deployed with a new German brigade stationed in Lithuania, with the official mission of defending NATO's eastern border against potential Russian attacks and airspace violations.

According to sources who spoke with FT, German authorities hope that splitting the contract among three players will stimulate innovation and competition.

— They're doing it to keep the competition alive and make sure they get the best system, said one of the sources.

European drone armament buildup

The deal comes at a time when European countries are significantly building up their drone warfare capabilities, both in terms of defensive technology to protect against potential drone attacks and offensive drones to conduct attacks against targets in other countries.

Investment in Europe's military technology startups has soared since the war in Ukraine escalated in 2022, with various venture capital firms now investing large sums in military operations.

Helsing has been described as Europe's most valuable military startup with a valuation of €12 billion, and over the past year the company has announced plans to deliver 6,000 drones to Ukraine, acquired German aircraft manufacturer Grob, and presented plans to manufacture underwater surveillance systems in the United Kingdom.

Stark was founded just 15 months ago and is backed by investors including American tech billionaire Peter Thiel and venture capital firm Sequoia Capital. The company has a team in Ukraine working on testing and development, and in July announced plans to open a factory in the English town of Swindon.

Rheinmetall surprised observers

That part of the contract would go to artillery and tank manufacturer Rheinmetall, which has already won tens of billions of euros in government contracts, came as a surprise to some players in the military-industrial sector.

Although the company has partnerships with American drone manufacturer Anduril and Israeli company UVision, it had until recently not had its own armed drone in its product portfolio.

Rheinmetall, headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany, offered to deliver the armed drone FV-014 to the German army, which the company publicly presented in September. The drone, also known as Raider, can carry a 5-kilogram payload and has a range of 100 kilometers.

Stark will deliver its armed drone Virtus and Helsing its HX-2.

Two US military aircraft crash in South China Sea

The new cold war

Published October 28, 2025 – By Editorial staff
The past six months have seen a number of losses of American fighter aircraft in connection with accidents.

A US helicopter and a fighter jet crashed during separate routine missions in the South China Sea on Sunday. According to the US Navy, all crew members were rescued unharmed.

The incidents occurred within half an hour of each other, and preliminary reports point to technical failures.

The US Pacific Fleet reported on Sunday that an MH-60R Seahawk helicopter crashed at approximately 2:45 PM local time during a routine mission from the aircraft carrier USS Nimitz in the South China Sea.

Three crew members were quickly rescued by nearby vessels and are in good condition, reports Associated Press.

Approximately thirty minutes later, the fleet also lost an F/A-18F Super Hornet fighter jet, which was also operating from the Nimitz. The two pilots ejected and were shortly thereafter picked up by rescue units.

The Navy has launched a formal investigation to determine the causes of both accidents, which occurred over one of the world's most strategic and contested maritime areas.

Trump: "Very unusual"

President Donald Trump commented on the incidents during his Asia tour, calling the two consecutive crashes "very unusual".

They think it might be bad fuel. We’re gonna find out, Nothing to hide, Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One en route from Malaysia to Japan.

According to the Navy, this is the fourth time this year that an F/A-18 aircraft, with an estimated cost of approximately €56 million each, has been lost in an accident.

Two losses occurred earlier in the year in the Red Sea, and one accident happened off the US East Coast in August.

The South China Sea has long been a geopolitical flashpoint where China claims nearly the entire area.

In recent years, Beijing has expanded military installations on disputed islands and reefs, prompting the US to maintain a constant military presence in the region to protect freedom of navigation, according to official statements.

The dual aircraft crashes occurred while Trump is on an extended diplomatic tour in Asia, where he is expected to meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping this week for talks on trade and security.

Sweden accelerates space defense development – military satellites planned before 2030

The new cold war

Published October 28, 2025 – By Editorial staff
The Swedish Armed Forces monitors other countries' satellites and space movements in real time.

The Swedish Armed Forces is accelerating the development of a Swedish space defense capability and plans to launch its own operational satellites earlier than previously planned.

The initiative, which aims to enhance surveillance and reconnaissance capabilities amid escalating conflicts and a deteriorating security situation, involves an expedited procurement process where the Swedish Defence Materiel Administration (FMV) has been tasked with speeding up the process.

The conflict with Russia and "the deteriorating security situation" have prompted the Swedish Armed Forces to accelerate work on a national space defense capability. The goal of having its own military satellites was originally set for 2030, but FMV has now been tasked with implementing an expedited procurement so that the satellites will become operational earlier. The defense forces currently do not wish to specify an exact year or how many satellites will be included in the system.

— We need to see further, says Anders Sundeman, new head of the Swedish Armed Forces' space operations, to state television SVT.

The satellites will primarily be used for reconnaissance and surveillance and aim to provide an improved situational picture, including over the Baltic Sea region. Weaponization of the satellites is reportedly not currently under consideration.

"Weapons reach further"

The Swedish Armed Forces cites two main reasons for the increased pace: the deteriorating security situation and the development of weapon systems with longer range. The ability to detect and follow developments at greater distances has therefore become increasingly important, while space technology has become cheaper and more accessible.

— Distances have increased so much nowadays, weapons reach further. Therefore, we need to have a good understanding of how developments are unfolding at considerably greater distances, says Anders Sundeman.

In the long term, launches are intended to be possible from Esrange in northern Sweden, but the first operational satellite is likely to be launched from foreign soil. The defense forces already have two training satellites in orbit: Gna-3, which was launched last year, and the Swedish-Danish satellite Bifrost, which followed earlier this year.

Space as a domain of conflict

Today, around fifteen people work with space defense within the Swedish Armed Forces, and within five years the staff is expected to double. In the monitoring room that handles the space situational picture, other countries' satellites are tracked, passages over Sweden are noted, and suspicious movements are analyzed.

Sweden is one of several countries now building up space defense capabilities. The US-led military alliance NATO has also highlighted space as a possible future domain of conflict.

— With increased interest, increased activity and increased dependence, potential conflicts, or space as a potential domain of conflict, will increase, says Anders Sundeman.

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