Monday, January 20, 2025

Polaris of Enlightenment

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Scholz government collapses in Germany

Published 16 December 2024
– By Editorial Staff
Olaf Scholz.

Germany is heading for new elections in February 2025 after Olaf Scholz’s three-party coalition collapsed. At the same time, the country is in a period of severe economic stagnation.

The government crisis was triggered when Olaf Scholz, leader of the Social Democrats (SPD), fired Finance Minister Christian Lindner from the liberal FDP party. The incident led to the collapse of the three-party coalition that also included the Greens. After Scholz lost a vote of confidence in the Bundestag, President Frank-Walter Steinmeier announced that new elections would be held on February 23, 2025.

The latest opinion polls show that the conservative CDU/CSU bloc is leading with 32% of voter support. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) is at 20%, while the SPD, Olaf Scholz’s party, only reaches 15%. The Greens and FDP reach 14% and 7% respectively.

Despite the AfD’s strong rise in the polls, the established parties have made it clear that they will not form a coalition with the party.

Economic challenges

At the same time as political uncertainty is growing, Germany is facing major economic problems. The country’s economy has stagnated and the central bank has recently revised its forecasts downwards. For 2023, the economy is expected to shrink by 0.2%, and only modest growth of 0.2% is predicted for 2025.

Germany, the EU’s largest economy, has been hit hard by factors such as high energy costs and increased global competition. Export-dependent sectors such as the automotive industry are struggling with structural challenges, and the country’s economic growth is now significantly lower than before the pandemic.

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Swedish NATO force deployed in Latvia

Sweden-NATO-relationship

Published today 12:54
– By Editorial Staff
Swedish NATO soldiers land in Riga.

This weekend, around 550 Swedish soldiers arrived in Latvia’s capital Riga to join NATO’s multinational brigade and reinforce the US-led military alliance’s border with Russia.

– Many of us have worked hard and long for this, and now we are finally here, says Battalion Commander and Lieutenant Colonel Henrik Rosdahl, commenting on Sweden’s first ground deployment as a NATO country.

The brigade is one of eight being built up to be stationed along NATO’s eastern border, with the official aim of “contributing to the Alliance’s deterrence and defense and ensuring stability in the region”.

The Swedish contribution to the initiative consists of the 71st battalion, which will be deployed by the Southern Skåne Regiment P 7.

– I feel a great sense of pride in the task of contributing to collective defense together with our allies. It is a historic day, but at the same time our new normal, says Henrik Rosdahl.

Rotating with Denmark

The Swedish battalion’s mission in Latvia will last for about six months… After the six months, the Swedish force will rotate home and be replaced by a Danish force in the next six months. In one year, the next Swedish force will arrive in Latvia again deployed by the Southern Skåne Regiment”, the Swedish Armed Forces wrote in a press release.

Canadian Colonel Cédric Aspirault is leading the international brigade and says the Swedes are “a valuable addition to our combat-ready force”.

Each nation involved contributes directly to the success of the brigade, demonstrating a united alliance and a will to keep the peace, it said.

EU official: We can invalidate the election in Germany – “if necessary”

Totalitarianism

Published 14 January 2025
– By Editorial Staff
Thierry Breton flags that Brussels could annul the German elections - “if necessary”.

Former EU commissioner Thierry Breton explains that the EU could annul the upcoming elections in Germany in case of suspicion of foreign influence.

– We did it in Romania and, if necessary, we will have to do it in Germany as well, he said.

The statement was made in an interview on the French news program Apolline Matin, focusing on Elon Musk’s platform X (formerly Twitter) and its potential role in the German elections.

Breton, former Commissioner for the Internal Market from 2019 to 2024, referred to the EU’s Digital Services Act (DSA), a law established in 2022 and whose purpose is nominally stated as protecting democracy by regulating digital platforms, fighting disinformation and preventing foreign influence on elections. He stressed that it was his staff who wrote the law, and that the EU is now “equipped” to apply it if necessary.

The law was recently used as a basis to investigate TikTok in the context of Romania’s presidential election, which was annulled following allegations of foreign interference. In recent days, large-scale demonstrations have broken out in Bucharest, with thousands of people protesting against the EU’s actions.

Germany’s elections, to be held next month, have already sparked discussions about the AfD’s success and Elon Musk’s open support for the party via X.

Large protests after annulled presidential election: “Romanians have chosen their president”

Published 14 January 2025
– By Editorial Staff
Photos from the protests in Bucharest.

In recent days, large-scale demonstrations have taken place in the Romanian capital Bucharest and other major cities.

The protests, which gathered more than 100,000 participants in Bucharest, target the incumbent President Klaus Iohannis and the current government, which the demonstrators consider illegitimate.

The demonstrations began after Romania’s Constitutional Court annulled the results of the first round of the presidential election, in which Călin Georgescu won with 22.95% of the vote. A second round was to have been held on December 8, 2024 between Georgescu and reformist leader Elena Lasconi, but this was stopped by the court’s decision.

We are more than a 100,000 Bucharest. Iohannis has to leave, shouted one of the protesters, adding: This usurper of a president, who has elected an illegitimate government, has to leave urgently!

Protesters demand that Călin Georgescu, who won the first round of the presidential elections, be recognized as the legitimate leader of the country.

– Romanians have chosen their president. We have to resume urgently round two of the elections and let the people decide who must lead Romania!

The court’s decision was motivated by suspicions of foreign influence, particularly via social media, which allegedly benefited Georgescu’s campaign. This has been met with strong condemnation from both Georgescu and Lasconi, who say the decision is a threat to democracy.

Parallel protests in Serbia

Meanwhile, demonstrations have taken place in Serbia, where discontent over the government’s handling of a collapsed train station in Novi Sad has led to widespread protests. Some protesters have shown symbolic solidarity with their Romanian neighbors by waving Romanian flags and tearing up EU flags, underlining a regional frustration with political abuse of power.

Landslide victory for Eurosceptic president in Croatia

Published 14 January 2025
– By Editorial Staff
Zoran Milanović re-elected for another term as President of Croatia.

Zoran Milanović has secured another term as President of Croatia after winning the election with an overwhelming majority. His re-election marks a continued Eurosceptic stance and a clear unwillingness to support Ukraine in its conflict with Russia.

Milanović, who often criticizes EU policies and Western support for Kiev, received a whopping 74.6% of the vote in the election, with his conservative opponent Dragan Primorac receiving only 25.3% support.

The victory reinforces Milanović’s position as one of the most outspoken and controversial leaders in the EU.

– It’s a plebiscite message from the Croatian people to all those who ought to hear it, and I ask that they listen, said Milanović in his victory speech.

During his first term, Milanović refused to allow Croatian participation in NATO’s training program for Ukrainian soldiers. He has also repeatedly criticized Western economic and military aid to Ukraine.

In his victory speech, he stressed that he intends to be “an equal participant in matters of foreign policy… In matters of defense and security, I will serve as the Commander-in-Chief not as an equal, but as the highest-ranking authority – because that is what the Constitution stipulates.

Tensions between President and Prime Minister

Tensions between Milanović and Croatian Prime Minister Andrej Plenković now risk deepening. Plenković, who leads the pro-EU conservative HDZ party, has not yet congratulated the president on his victory. Milanović, for his part, has announced talks with the government to discuss the country’s political direction.

The president’s role in Croatia is mainly ceremonial, but the office’s influence in defense and foreign policy gives him a central voice on issues related to the country’s relationship with the EU and NATO.

Milanović’s positions, which often reflect a somewhat broader trend of Euroscepticism in the region, can thus be said to place Croatia in the same camp as countries like Hungary and Slovakia.

He has repeatedly argued that Croatia should not be drawn into a “geopolitical game” that he believes mainly benefits great powers like the United States.

In a broader context, Milanović’s policies raise questions about the future of the EU and its common stance towards Ukraine. His re-election highlights a growing division within the Union, with several member states expressing dissatisfaction with continued support for Kiev.