Tuesday, November 4, 2025

Polaris of Enlightenment

Watchdog: Swedish food prices higher than justified

Welfare collapse

Published June 29, 2025 – By Editorial staff
Between 2021-2023, food prices in Sweden increased by 28 percent - an inflationary spiral unprecedented in modern Swedish history.

Between 2021 and 2023, food prices in Sweden rose by over 28 percent – a price development not seen in decades. Now, the Swedish Competition Authority (Konkurrensverket) has released a report showing that price increases on several basic food items in stores have exceeded what can be explained by increased costs in the supply chain.

The authority points to lack of competition, particularly in the grocery retail sector, as a crucial factor behind the high prices.

The Competition Authority's report - a follow-up to a previous analysis from 2024 - shows that grocery retail, food industry, and its wholesalers have maintained stable profitability over the past 15 years - even during the period when food prices rose sharply.

According to the authority, this means that price increases in stores cannot be explained solely by increased costs, but that retailers in many cases have raised prices more than cost developments would justify.

Our analysis shows that profitability in the industry has remained stable for a long time, even during the years when prices rose sharply. This reinforces our previous assessment that competition in parts of the food supply chain is insufficient, says Director General Marie Östman.

Competition deficiencies in focus

The Swedish Competition Authority concludes that high market concentration, barriers to entry for new players, and restrictions in trade agreements contribute to keeping prices high.

ICA, Sweden's largest grocery retailer with a market share of around 50 percent, is being specifically investigated to determine if the company's actions may have limited competition.

Well-functioning competition drives down prices and improves efficiency. The overall picture from our analyses shows that there is room for improvement, particularly in the retail sector, which ultimately can benefit consumers and moderate store prices, says Marie Östman.

Recent years' soaring food price increases have had a noticeable negative effect on many households. Photo: Daria Obymaha/Pexels

The unjustified price increases affect household economies, especially for low-income earners and pensioners where food costs constitute a large part of their budget.

Several basic goods such as butter, bread, cheese, and potatoes have seen particularly large price increases in stores, exceeding cost increases from suppliers.

Food prices have repeatedly sparked debate in the Riksdag , and among consumer organizations demanding stricter regulations to counter market power and promote competition.

The Swedish Competition Authority continues its investigation of the grocery retail sector and intends to propose measures to increase competition and improve market functionality.

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Save the Children: One in eight children in Sweden lives in poverty

Welfare collapse

Published October 22, 2025 – By Editorial staff
Single parents face particular difficulties making ends meet, the report shows.

One in eight children in Sweden currently lives in poverty, and the number is increasing in line with rising living costs, according to a new report from Save the Children Sweden.

According to recent figures from the children's rights organization Save the Children, approximately 276,000 children in Sweden live in poverty, representing nearly 13 percent of all children in the country. This is revealed in the report "Child Poverty in Sweden 2025" which was presented during the week.

The report is based on new metrics from the Swedish Consumer Agency's calculations of families' basic needs and includes the number of children in households receiving social assistance. The aim is to better reflect the reality for children in economically vulnerable households.

— The development has made it difficult for families with children who already lacked or had small margins to make ends meet. Save the Children has noticed increased vulnerability among families with children we meet in our operations, says the organization's Secretary General Åsa Regnér in a press release.

Stock image. Photo: Pixabay

Rising living costs and declining real wages

Save the Children highlights several factors in the report that explain the increasing economic vulnerability among families with children. Among the primary causes are sharply rising living costs, particularly for food and housing, as well as unemployment and declining real wages.

Additionally, the report reveals clear differences between various groups in society. Children living with single parents or in households with foreign-born parents face a significantly higher risk of experiencing poverty.

The organization calls for several national reforms to reverse the trend. Among the proposals are previously suggested increases to child and housing benefits, as well as social assistance that is indexed to actual costs rather than just referring to general levels.

Social assistance must cover food, rent and children's basic needs, and therefore it needs to be adapted to economic changes and the real costs of families with children, argues Åsa Regnér.

Save the Children's measurement method for child poverty

Save the Children Sweden has updated its method for measuring child poverty. The new measure takes into account the Swedish Consumer Agency's calculations of basic needs and the number of children in families receiving social assistance. Between 2019 and 2022, poverty decreased according to both measures, but during 2023, the new measure shows an increase.

Source: Save the Children Sweden

Growing number of Swedes living in poverty

Welfare collapse

Published October 20, 2025 – By Editorial staff
For the most vulnerable, every day becomes a struggle when the safety net fails.

An increasing number of Swedes are living in material and social poverty. According to this year's poverty report from Sweden's City Missions, poverty in Sweden has nearly doubled since 2021.

Last year, 698,000 Swedes lived in some form of poverty, according to the report. The increase in poverty in Sweden stands out across Europe, particularly in terms of speed – having nearly doubled in four years. Jonas Rydberg, secretary general of Sweden's City Missions (a charitable organization), believes the rising poverty is largely due to the economic downturn and sharp increases in food prices.

But what we can show in our report is that it's also because it's becoming increasingly difficult to have one's rights met. For example, financial benefits. They are inaccessible and difficult to obtain, he says in Nyhetsmorgon.

Rydberg notes that many of those seeking help from the city mission don't receive the general social insurance benefits they're entitled to, making it significantly harder to manage daily life. Social welfare support, for example, has become more complicated to obtain and the payments are very low.

It has become increasingly difficult and the ultimate safety net is being eroded in Sweden.

The Swedish government recently presented a welfare reform that involves stricter requirements for social benefits, with the goal of getting more people into work. According to Rydberg, the proposal risks instead pushing more people into poverty.

It's difficult and the labor market in Sweden is not accessible, he states.

Definition of poverty among adults in Sweden

An adult is considered poor if they lack the financial means to meet at least five of the following basic needs:

  • Eat protein-rich meals (meat, fish, chicken or vegetarian) every other day
  • Maintain a satisfactory indoor temperature in their home
  • Invite friends and family over or meet them for meals or coffee at least monthly
  • Have access to the internet
  • Manage to regulate loans and pay bills on time
  • Have a small amount available for personal expenses weekly
  • Own at least two pairs of functional shoes suitable for different weather conditions
  • Replace broken or worn-out furniture when needed
  • Participate in leisure activities with some regularity
  • Buy new clothes when the old ones are too worn
  • Handle an unexpected expense of €1,200 (the amount is adjusted periodically)
  • Take a week-long vacation away from home annually
  • Own a personal vehicle

Source: Sveriges stadsmissioner (Swedish City Missions)

Finland was a European model – now homelessness is rising again

Welfare collapse

Published October 18, 2025 – By Editorial staff
Getting off the streets is extremely difficult once you end up there.

Finland has long been a model in the fight against homelessness, but now the trend is reversing.

For the first time since 2012, the number of homeless people is increasing – and street homelessness among young people is rising sharply.

Julius Virtavuori has lived without permanent housing for over two decades. When Yle (Finnish public broadcaster) meets him at the Tupa supported housing facility in Helsinki, Finland, he reflects on his situation.

— It's quite a long time. I think these are probably the last years I'll be in this situation. There are apartments in Finland after all.

The hardest part is the feeling of lacking goals, he tells them.

— You take one day at a time. There's nothing to build your life on long-term. And the side effects that homelessness brings – a certain use of intoxicants. That boom is long past for me, now I just take it easy.

Successful model under pressure

Julius's situation is not unique, but Finland has for many years worked systematically to reduce homelessness. The country has been a pioneer in Europe, primarily through the so-called "Housing First principle".

The model means that homeless people first receive their own apartment with a rental contract, and then support services tailored to individual needs. Instead of requiring people to first solve their social or health problems to qualify for housing, the order is reversed – housing comes first. The approach has received broad international attention and shown good results.

But according to a recent report from the Housing Finance and Development Centre of Finland (formerly ARA), the trend has been broken. For the first time since 2012, homelessness is increasing again.

At the end of 2024, 3,806 homeless people were registered in Finland. Particularly alarming is the increase in rough sleeping – people sleeping outdoors, in stairwells, or in temporary shelters. A total of 649 people lived under these conditions, which is 230 more than the previous year.

However, the figures are only indicative, as homelessness is difficult to measure exactly. A person who sleeps at an acquaintance's place one night may be forced to sleep on the street or in a stairwell the next night.

"Very alarming"

Emergency housing units report a sharp increase in young people falling outside society's support measures and being forced to sleep on the street.

Jussi Lehtonen, service manager at the organization Vailla vakinaista asuntoa (Without Permanent Housing), has worked with homelessness issues for over 30 years. He sees the increasing youth homelessness as particularly worrying.

— It's very alarming, because young people have their whole lives ahead of them. It shows for years afterward if they end up in that situation. And it would be very important to get them out of that situation quickly, says Lehtonen.

He believes that homelessness is often a consequence of too few affordable homes combined with cuts in benefit systems, which has made it harder for people with small incomes to manage financially.

— Ending up on the street is harmful in many different ways. For some, homelessness becomes chronic. The social network is reformed, and you have quite a lot to do with people who are on the street. Anyone understands that's not good, Lehtonen states.

Germany’s pension shock: people must work until at least 73 years of age

Welfare collapse

Published October 9, 2025 – By Editorial staff
In Germany's increasingly deteriorating welfare climate, Chancellor Merz is now signaling a dramatic increase in the country's retirement age - while money continues to flow to Ukraine.

While Berlin sends billions to Ukraine and turns a blind eye to migration costs in Germany, voices are being raised for Germans to work longer to save the welfare system. German Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) is preparing the country's residents for a longer working life.

According to a new proposal, the retirement age in Germany could gradually be raised to 73 years as part of the government's attempt to save an increasingly strained welfare system. Critics warn that the ideas about retirement age 73 lack both realism and fairness.

Friedrich Merz has stated that Germans must get used to the idea of less leisure time and longer working lives to finance pensions, healthcare and elderly care.

Meanwhile, economic analyses show that the country's former strength as the EU's economic engine has turned into stagnation. The deficit in public insurance systems is growing rapidly and several German states report shortages of both personnel and funding in healthcare.

The government's expert council now warns that demographic developments require decisive action – more workers, higher fees and later retirement.

Money to Ukraine prioritized

But while Germans are urged to work until well after 70 years of age, Berlin continues to send billions to Ukraine. According to German media, the military and humanitarian support amounts to well above 40 billion euros since 2022.

Critics argue that the current government simultaneously fails to address the homeland's own financial problems. The growing national debt, rising energy prices and weak industrial production have put welfare under severe pressure – but aid to Kiev remains unchanged.

Many Germans therefore wonder how the country can afford to finance the war abroad but not its own pensions.

Tens of billions of euros in German taxpayer money go to Ukraine every year. Montage. Photo: U.S. Marine Corps/Sgt. Samuel Fletcher, President Of Ukraine

Immigration's impact

The official explanation for the crisis is an aging population. But several economists argue that the problem rather lies in the extensive immigration over the past two decades.

According to calculations by pension researcher Bernd Raffelhüschen, many newcomers contribute less to the social system than they receive back, especially during their first years in the country.

In an interview with German tabloid Bild from October 2024, he said that immigration will not save either the economy or welfare – rather the opposite.

Other experts also argue that integration problems and low employment among certain immigrant groups have become a long-term structural concern for the German economy. Despite this, the issue receives limited space in political debate.

Montage. Photo: Amisom, Pexels

The chancellor's dilemma

The Federal Chancellor thus faces a double dilemma. On one hand, the finance ministry demands reforms to avoid collapse in the welfare system. On the other hand, new cuts and raised retirement age risk increasing discontent among voters who already feel that burdens are distributed unfairly.

The opposition, particularly Alternative for Germany (AfD), has quickly exploited the situation and describes the proposal as a betrayal of the country's workers. Meanwhile, Merz tries to maintain a hard line against criticism and present the reform as a necessity.

But more and more Germans are now asking the question: why should citizens work longer, while billions continue to flow to both Ukraine and a costly migration system that few still believe will pay for itself?

FACT BOX: Germany's welfare system under pressure

  • Pension system: The statutory retirement age in Germany is currently 67 years, but proposals exist to gradually raise it to 73.
  • Economy: Germany's GDP growth has fallen to below 0.5 percent during 2024–2025, resulting in high inflation and reduced industrial production.
  • Support to Ukraine: Since 2022, Germany has allocated over 40 billion euros in military, economic and humanitarian aid – the second largest contribution within the EU after the USA.
  • Migration: Around 17 million people in Germany have foreign backgrounds. Integration and social expenditures are estimated to cost the state over 30 billion euros annually.

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