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Swedish conscripts could be forced to fight on “NATO’s outermost border”

The new cold war

Published 12 March 2024
– By Editorial Staff
Swedish conscripts practicing.

The defense minister “cannot rule out” that Swedish conscripts will be sent to fight far from Swedish territory to protect NATO’s outermost borders.

– According to the law on total defense duty, conscripts can be used for the defense of Sweden, and it is clear that when we become allies, this defense can begin outside of Sweden, says Pål Jonsson (M).

In an interview, a journalist from the public broadcaster P1 asks Jonsson whether those who have done their military service and have been deployed for war should now be prepared “to defend Sweden even at NATO’s external borders”.

– Yes, that cannot be ruled out. Military service is the basis of the armed forces’ personnel supply, the defense minister replies.

The journalist then asks whether it should be voluntary for Swedish conscripts to participate in combat abroad, but the Minister of Defence cannot give a clear answer.

– This is exactly what the defense committee is looking at, and according to the law on total defense duty, conscripts can be used for the defense of Sweden, and it is clear that when we become allies, this defense can begin outside of Sweden.

Conscription abroad

Jonsson believes that it “cannot be ruled out” that Swedish conscripts will be trained in other NATO countries instead of in Sweden.

– Already today, conscripts can train outside Swedish territory.

When asked “when it might be relevant to send Swedish soldiers to fight further away than in our immediate area,” the defense minister answers somewhat vaguely that this could become a reality “in various types of Article 5 situations” – i.e. if another NATO country is attacked.

Military service in Sweden

Swedish citizens may be conscripted if they meet one or more of the following criteria:

  • completed basic military training
  • completed other military training
  • completed their service in the Swedish Armed Forces and have completed basic training of more than 60 days or other military training in accordance with the Swedish National Defence Act.

One is placed in a wartime position either in a wartime unit or in the personnel reserve. The wartime position is valid for ten years after the last period of service, but no longer than the year in which the person reaches the age of 47.

At the end of last year, there were 404,218 Swedes in military service.

Source: Swedish Defence Conscription and Assessment Agency (Pliktverket)

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EU imports of Russian liquefied natural gas reach record levels

The new cold war

Published today 9:31
– By Editorial Staff
Russian LNG tanker Christophe de Margerie.

Despite EU sanctions and stated ambitions to sharply reduce imports of Russian fossil fuels, Europe still imported record amounts of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Russia in 2024.

According to experts, there is a logical reason for the increase Russian gas is simply much cheaper than its competitors.

Data from Rystad Energy shows that 17.8 million tons of Russian LNG were delivered to European ports last year, an increase of over 2 million tons compared to the previous year.

Despite a significant drop in piped gas imports from Russia due to the conflict in Ukraine and the terrorist attack on the Nord Stream pipelines in September 2022, the EU continued to purchase record amounts of the country’s LNG. This has been possible as the chilled fuel has been only partially covered by the sanctions imposed by Union member states.

The energy analyst firm released the data shortly after Ukraine halted the transit of Russian gas through its territory to the EU. Kiev opted to scrap a five-year transit agreement with Russian energy giant Gazprom at the end of 2024, halting the flow of natural gas from Russia to Romania, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, Austria, Italy and Moldova.

Russian LNG deliveries to the EU not only increased but reached “record levels”, according to Jan-Eric Fahnrich, gas analyst at Rystad Energy. He states that Russia surpassed Qatar as the bloc’s second-largest supplier of LNG in 2024, after the United States.

According to Fahnrich, the EU bought 49.5 billion cubic meters of Russian gas through pipelines last year, and another 24.2 billion cubic meters of LNG, some of which was re-exported to other countries.

“Fairly simple”

Data from the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air (Crea) show slightly lower figures, but even these reflect an overall trend of sharply increasing Russian LNG exports. According to Crea, EU imports of Russian LNG increased by 14% year-on-year in 2024 to 17.5 million tons and were worth €7.32 billion.

– The reason for the rise is fairly simple. Russian LNG is offered at a discount to alternative suppliers. With no sanctions imposed on the commodity, companies are operating in their own self-interest and buying increasing quantities of gas from the cheapest supplier, explains Crea’s Russia analyst Vaibhav Raghunandan.

The latest estimates significantly outpace recent projections by Bloomberg, which earlier this week said LNG deliveries from Russia to the EU had risen to 15.5 million tons by 2024 compared to 2020, when the EU imported about 10.5 million tons of the fuel.

Trump plans meeting with Putin: “We are setting it up”

The new cold war

Published yesterday 12:16
– By Editorial Staff
Putin and Trump during their meeting in Helsinki in 2018.

US President-elect Donald Trump has announced that a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin is now being arranged.

– He wants to meet, and we’re setting it up, Trump said at a meeting of Republican governors in Mar-a-Lago, Florida.

Trump described the war in Ukraine as “a bloody mess ” and expressed his intention to end the conflict. During his election campaign, he promised to end the war within 24 hours of taking office, but has recently conceded that a six-month period is a more realistic timeframe.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov also confirms that the Russian president’s line has been firmly established that he is open to talks with Trump and that there are no preconditions for such a meeting.

– The president has repeatedly stated his openness to contact with international leaders, including the U.S. president, including Donald Trump, said Peskov.

Trump’s planned meeting with Putin has raised concerns in Kiev, where there are fears that US military support could be reduced and Ukraine could be pushed into an unfavorable peace deal.

Swedish PM: “Must prepare for war if we want peace”

Sweden-NATO-relationship

Published yesterday 10:30
– By Editorial Staff
Ulf Kristersson is very happy with membership of the US-led NATO military alliance.

Sweden’s prime minister proclaims that Sweden is certainly not at war at the moment but that the Swedish people should not believe that there is any real peace either.

– Let’s plan for the worst, so we can continue to hope for the best, declares Ulf Kristersson, and calls for continued escalation and rearmament.

During this year’s edition of Folk och Försvar’s national conference, those in power gathered in Sälen to discuss issues related to Sweden’s defense and security policy. This year, Sweden’s Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson also took part, and in his speech he focused on trying to explain how the government actually views Sweden’s current defense policy status.

– Sweden is not at war. But neither is there peace, the Prime Minister emphasized.

– Real peace requires freedom and that there are no serious conflicts between countries. But we and our neighbors are exposed to hybrid attacks, which are not carried out with robots and soldiers, but with computers, money, disinformation and the risk of sabotage, Kristersson further argued.

“Take this seriously”

In March, it will be one year since Sweden joined the US-led NATO alliance, and the Prime Minister was very proud when he described how Swedish aircraft already contribute to NATO’s airspace surveillance, how 600 Swedish soldiers are on their way to Latvia and how Sweden is ready to contribute to NATO’s naval forces as well.

– It is an asset for Sweden in NATO that support for our membership is so strong and broad. Politically, but also among the population. It is an expression that we live in serious times. But also a sign that Sweden has changed.

Kristersson believes that Sweden has previously been “a somewhat naive idealist on the sidelines” but has now become much wiser and has become “a realist at the center of events“.

According to the Moderate leader, Sweden and other countries are not being subjected to conventional warfare instead, he believes it is a “proxy war” where, for example, Iran is accused of hiring gang criminals to commit acts of violence in Sweden and where Russia is allegedly “undermining democratic elections” in European countries.

– So take this seriously. I and the government take it seriously, he admonished.

“It’s all about priorities”

There do not seem to be any plans to improve relations with Russia and promote de-escalation through dialogue and diplomacy instead, the focus is on deterrence and continued rearmament.

– The Russian threat is by all accounts a long-term one. So must our defense be… It’s all about priorities. We can afford to defend our freedom – but we cannot afford to lose our freedom, he said.

The Prime Minister also stressed that Sweden “is not only a place of freedom and self-realization – but also of responsibility and self-sacrifice” and paid tribute to the young Swedes who “do their duty” by joining the Swedish army.

– Now it is a new era once again. And it doesn’t have to be a pre-war era, but as is well known, those who want peace must be prepared for war.

Ulf Kristersson Anthony Blinken
Kristersson and outgoing US Secretary of State Antony Blinken. Photo: U.S. Department of State/Public Domain

“Let’s plan for the worst”

He says that today, just as in the Cold War days, the struggle is between “democracy and dictatorship“, and although he claims that he and his party do not want a war, he says it is nevertheless of the utmost importance to consolidate, arm and increase militarization if one were to happen.

– We won and the dictatorship lost. There is no law of nature that makes it always so. But the free world has done it before and we can do it again. Let’s plan for the worst, so we can continue to hope for the best, he concluded.

The Nordic Times also highlighted Folk och Försvar’s national conference 2024, where the focus was on Sweden’s entry into NATO and alleged domestic and foreign threats to the country.

NATO increases military presence in the Baltic Sea

The new cold war

Published 30 December 2024
– By Editorial Staff
Ships and aircraft from the NATO exercise Steadfast Defender 24 earlier this year.

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte announces that the US-led alliance will immediately increase its military presence in the Baltic Sea.

The decision comes after the NATO chief met with the Finnish president over what he described as “suspected sabotage” of underwater cables.

Spoke with Alexander Stubb about the ongoing Finnish-led investigation into possible sabotage of undersea cables. I expressed my full solidarity and support. NATO will enhance its military presence in the Baltic Sea”, declares Rutte on X.

Earlier on Friday, the Estonian military announced that it had “launched an operation” to protect a cable (Estlink 1) that connects Estonia to the Finnish electricity grid, reports TT.

We decided last night to launch an operation early this morning, during which the Estonian Navy ship Raju has already sailed out to protect Estlink, said Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur in a radio interview.

The background is that on Christmas Day, the Finnish network operator, Fingrid, reported that it had lost contact with Estlink 2 and shortly afterwards there were also reports of damage to communication cables between Estonia and Finland.

Accusing Russia

The tanker Eagle S, flying the Cook Islands flag, is alleged to have caused the damage with its anchor, and although it is not yet established whether the damage was caused by mistake or sabotage, accusations are already being made against “Russia’s shadow fleet”.

– There is reason to believe that this is organized by Russia. It fits into a pattern of Russian hybrid threats to NATO countries taking on a more physical dimension. There are more and more sabotage actions against critical infrastructure of great importance to the West, says Tormod Heier, a professor at the Norwegian Defense University, without presenting any evidence for his hypothesis.

Even when the Nordstream 1 and 2 gas pipelines were attacked and destroyed in September 2022, Russia was quickly accused by Western politicians and establishment media of being behind the attack.

However, according to award-winning journalist Seymour Hersh , it was the United States, along with Norway, that blew up the pipelines, and the NATO exercise Baltops was used as a cover for Norwegian and American dive teams to plant the bombs off Bornholm.