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Sweden: Wintertime blackouts not far away

The energy crisis in Europe

Published 8 June 2023
– By Editorial Staff
Despite electricity imports, power may be cut off during future Swedish winters.

Sweden could face electricity shortages in a few winters, according to a new forecast. Svenska kraftnät predicts that powerless winters are not that many years away.

Every year, state-owned electricity transmission operator Svenska kraftnät is commissioned by the government to report on how the Swedish electricity system will cope with the summer and future winters. The report shows that the electricity system is not keeping pace with the current electrification or the increase in electricity consumption, which in the long term could lead to a shortage of electricity in Sweden.

– We see a large increase in electricity consumption, but no new production. The equation doesn’t add up, says Lowina Lundström of Svenska kraftnät.

This upcoming winter it is predicted that things will be better, partly because gas supplies to the EU look set to improve. However, they warn that it could be problematic for future winters if there is a loss of electricity production again this year.

Compared to when we presented last year’s report, it appears that the external factors for the coming winter will be better. In particular, the prospects for gas deliveries to the EU are better. But if we have a loss of electricity production this winter to the same extent as last winter, when both Ringhals 4 and Oskarshamn 3 were out of operation at the peak load hour, the power balance will naturally change significantly, says Lundström.

It is also predicted that electricity consumption will increase, partly due to the electrification of industry, but also due to an increased number of electric cars. Another reason is that a large proportion of the new electricity production consists of wind power with relatively low availability during the so-called ‘peak load hour’, i.e. when electricity consumption is highest. Last winter the amount of wind power amounted to 21 percent and the winter before that 22 percent.

According to the report, the challenges may be a few years away, and it points out, for example, that the winter of 2025/2026 may have a negative power balance, which may mean having to turn off the power in order to conserve energy. This is despite the fact that electricity imports have been taken into account.

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Price explosion in the Baltics after disconnection from the Russian grid

The energy crisis in Europe

Published yesterday 15:01
– By Editorial Staff

The Baltic countries have recently disconnected from the Russian electricity grid and joined the European system. Electricity prices in the countries are now skyrocketing.

Over the weekend, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania disconnected from the Russian grid and connected to the grid in Finland, Sweden and Poland. Shortly afterwards, electricity prices rose sharply, Euronews reports.

Last week, the price of electricity in Estonia stood at €126 per MWh. After the switch, it has risen to €191 per MWh, the highest recorded so far in 2025.

However, the Estonian electricity and gas network operator says that the price increase is mainly due to weather conditions and the market situation.

Less wind this week, higher electricity consumption due to colder weather and a slight increase in gas price”, it states.

Gas prices have reached record levels on the Dutch TTF market in recent years, but are expected to fall. Meanwhile, the Lithuanian-Swedish Estlink 2 submarine cable has recently been damaged by an anchor, which has negatively affected electricity prices.

Economics writer on the European electricity market: “A failed joke”

The energy crisis in Europe

Published 12 December 2024
– By Editorial Staff
Due to electricity prices, even a quick shower has become an unaffordable luxury for many.

Yesterday, electricity prices in southern Sweden were at times 18,000% higher than in central Sweden – because there was no wind in Germany.

Economy reporter Andreas Cervenka notes that Swedish electricity customers have been overcharged by more than SEK 300 billion (€26 billion) via their electricity bills, and says the Swedish electricity market is “starting to look like a very failed joke”.

Anyone living in Malmö or “Electricity Area 4”, which is apparently this nation’s new name, can expect to pay just over SEK 31, including VAT, for a ten-minute shower at five o’clock today,” he writes in the tabloid Aftonbladet, while seeing how electricity customers in Sundsvall only have to pay SEK 0.17 for the same shower.

That’s a price difference of 184 times or 18,000%. In addition, there are various fees, so it’s actually even more expensive. It’s as if Malmö residents were to pay SEK 3,700 for a liter of milk and Sundsvall residents a twenty. Where is this even going?” he asks.

According to observers and analysts, it’s Germany’s fault, and they are extremely dependent on wind power. When there is no wind there, Sweden is instead drained of electricity via the export cables, and electricity becomes more expensive here at home.

“A proof of poverty”

Cervenka points out that the mechanisms behind electricity prices are very confusing and that the soaring electricity prices have made Swedes sit down and Google the current day’s or hour’s prices before turning on the shower, for example

Somewhat of a proof of poverty, you might say, for one of the world’s richest countries, which last year actually produced more electricity than we used. The difference was quite large, as much as 28 terawatt-hours, according to the Swedish Energy Agency, which corresponds to 5.6 billion ten-minute showers, for those who are wondering”, he states.

Andreas Cervenka. Photo: faksimil/AB/YT

In the past, policymakers have blamed the extreme price differences on a lack of transmission capacity in the electricity grids, and EU directives recently introduced the new “flowbased” model, which was supposed to make more efficient use of the electricity grids.

Analysts and experts were critical of the new model and warned that prices would soar further – and by all accounts, they were right.

“A masterless grid monopoly”

According to electricity market analyst Bengt Ekenstierna, the Swedish electricity market will be even more closely linked to Germany than before, and he is saddened that Swedish politicians seem to have abandoned all attempts to influence other EU countries’ views on the electricity market.

It is the duty of every politician to put their fist on the table and work to change when applied EU regulations lead to such effects as it has had on the electricity market in Sweden over the past 3 years. Electricity customers have been overcharged by more than SEK 300 billion via their electricity bills”, he states in a newsletter.

… and that doesn’t even account for the 100 billion in overcharges occurring through skyrocketing and uncontrolled electricity grid fees from a masterless grid monopoly”, he continues.

300 billion is a sum so large that it is difficult to grasp, according to Cervenka, who concludes by announcing that he will take a “long, expensive shower” and try to forget what he just read.

Someone must be making fun of us”, he concludes.

Swedish homeowners protest against the “energy fiasco”

The energy crisis in Europe

Published 31 October 2024
– By Editorial Staff
Many Swedes testify that they can no longer afford to heat their homes.

The Swedish Homeowners’ Owners Association (Villaägarnas Riksförbund) is now calling on its members to protest against Sweden’s exorbitant energy costs.

In recent years, electricity prices have risen sharply in Sweden and many households have found it difficult to pay their electricity bills. Before last winter, more than half of Swedes were worried about how they would afford to pay for their electricity.

Now the Swedish Homeowners’ Association has decided to protest against the country’s energy market and is urging its members to share how it has affected them.

– Enough is enough! Sweden’s energy market is fundamentally broken and politicians need to hear the people’s dissatisfaction and address the problems – once and for all, says Cecilia Reuter, President of the Swedish Homeowners’ Association, in a press release.

The aim of the protest is to show the consequences of the current energy market. Hundreds of stories have been received from the organization’s members who, among other things, testify to how they are forced to freeze when they can no longer afford to heat their homes.

“Something is very wrong”

I won’t be able to afford heating at home if prices go up. Even last winter I had to turn down the heating and dress warmly to try to keep costs down. Should my daughter have to sleep in overalls so that I can afford both food and electricity?”, writes Mikael from Enköping, for example.

We have 15–16 degrees indoors in winter. During the summer, we can’t afford to replace anything for heating the house because all the money has to be saved to survive the coming winter. When taxes are higher than the cost of electricity itself, it affects the food on the table, and the children have to walk on cold floors – that’s when something is very wrong”, says Emil from Härnösand.

In January, all the stories will be printed and placed on the desk of Energy Minister Ebba Busch.

– As Energy Minister, Ebba Busch is ultimately responsible for Sweden’s energy market. It is no good blaming previous governments or hiding behind EU directives. Voters are suffering under the pressure of a wild and unpredictable energy market. Please act, Ebba! says Reuter.

Facts: The Swedish Homeowners' Owners Association

The Swedish Homeowners' Owners Association (Villaägarna Riksförbund) is a non-profit consumer and interest organization for residents and owners of detached houses, i.e. villas and holiday homes.

The organization also has a business area, Samfällheterna, which offers security agreements with help, support and insurance to community associations.

In 2023, The Swedish Homeowners' Owners Association had 230 000 member households.

District heating prices soar in Sweden

The energy crisis in Europe

Published 21 September 2024
– By Editorial Staff

According to a report by the Nils Holgersson Group, this year’s average price increase for district heating in Sweden is the highest ever and almost double that of last year. In some municipalities, district heating prices have increased by more than 30%.

In 2023, the average increase in district heating prices was 7.8%. This year they are on average as much as 15.2% according to the Nils Holgersson Group, which includes the Housing Association (Bostadsrätterna), the Tenants’ Association (Hyresgästföreningen) and Public Housing Sweden (Sveriges Allmännytta). The report has been made over the past 30 years and this is the highest increase to date.

However, the extent of the increases varies greatly between municipalities, with prices climbing by over 20% in 79 municipalities and surpassing 30% in 23 of them.

This year’s figures mark an unprecedented price surge, says chairman Joachim Höggren to TT.

Åstorp is the municipality where prices have increased the most by 39%, followed by Vimmerby with 38.6% and Örkelljunga at 37.8%.

In Sweden’s largest cities, Stockholm and Gothenburg, the increase is below the average, with costs rising by 12% and 9% respectively.

Höggren believes that district heating companies need to increase their transparency regarding price increases.

– District heating holds a key role in Sweden, but companies need to reconsider their approach. When faced with such a significant price shock, it’s natural for consumers to question whether this is truly the best heating option.