Sunday, July 6, 2025

Polaris of Enlightenment

Sweden set for EU’s weakest growth in 2024

Published 23 February 2024
– By Editorial Staff
EU economic affairs commissioner Paolo Gentiloni says the outlook for the first quarter of 2024 remains subdued.
2 minute read

Sweden is predicted to have the weakest growth in the entire EU area in 2024, with a forecast of 0.2 percent growth, while the entire Union’s growth is estimated at 0.9 percent.

The EU’s winter economic forecast has adjusted downwards the growth expectations for the entire Union during the year. In 2024, growth is expected to reach 0.9%, although in November last year it was predicted to be 1.3% instead. The Commission points to the decline in household purchasing power, the fall in global demand for goods from EU countries, the increase in key interest rates and the withdrawal of the support measures put in place during the coronavirus and energy crises in 2023.

– The latest data confirm that the EU economy will barely expand in 2023 and the outlook for the first quarter of 2024 remains subdued, said EU Economy Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni, according to Europa portal.

Uncertain future

Sweden is one of the few member states whose GDP forecast has actually been adjusted upwards. However, since the forecast is for an increase of only 0.2 percent, this means that it is still the lowest forecast. Growth in Sweden is believed to be driven mainly by households regaining purchasing power due to, among other things, lower interest rates. However, there is a risk that the forecast will be even worse than expected, says Gentiloni.

– Unfortunately, the future economic outlook is subject to considerable uncertainty, not least because of Russia’s ongoing war with Ukraine and rising tensions in the Middle East, he says.

The country with the second lowest forecast is Germany with 0.3% potential growth. Followed by the Netherlands with 0.4% and then Finland with 0.6%. Malta is expected to have the highest growth among EU countries with 4.6%.

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Swedish government allocates hundreds of millions to World Bank’s aid fund

Published 3 July 2025
– By Editorial Staff
According to Swedish politician Alexander Dousa, the Swedish aid billions should provide "better conditions for companies to invest, trade, grow and hire in the world's poorest countries".
2 minute read

The Moderate Party-led Swedish government has decided to contribute €730 million to the International Development Association (IDA), the World Bank’s initiative to support low-income countries in the developing world.

The decision, made by the government following a commitment in December last year, means the funds will be disbursed gradually between 2026 and 2034.

According to the government, IDA’s financing model allows each unit of aid funding to leverage between 3.5 and 4 times that amount in loans and grants for recipient countries. The upcoming replenishment of the fund is expected to deliver a total of $100 billion in support to 1.9 billion people across 78 of the world’s poorest countries over the next three years.

– We are currently living in a time characterized by increased economic and geopolitical uncertainty, which particularly affects the world’s low-income countries. Sweden is therefore contributing to a record-breaking replenishment of the fund with a total of 8.2 billion SEK (€730 million), says Swedish Minister for International Development Cooperation and Foreign Trade Benjamin Dousa (Moderate Party) in a press release.

He claims this is an “important investment in the future” – not only for poor countries but also for Sweden.

– Every Swedish aid crown to IDA generates three to four times its value in World Bank lending to support sound economic reforms and better conditions for businesses to invest, trade, grow, and employ people in the world’s poorest countries, it is stated.

“Reliable partnership”

The Swedish government takes pride in continuing to be “one of the most generous donors to IDA” and affirms that the World Bank is an “important partner for Sweden”.

Swedish Minister of Finance Elisabeth Svantesson (Moderate Party), who currently chairs the Development Committee of the World Bank and IMF, the institutions’ highest advisory body on development issues, takes the opportunity to praise the organization.

– The substantial replenishment of IDA demonstrates donors’ confidence in the World Bank as an effective and reliable partner. I am particularly pleased with the institution’s focus on job creation and growth-promoting reforms during this time of global economic uncertainty and low growth.

The International Development Association (IDA) is part of the World Bank and provides grants and concessional loans to the world's poorest countries. Its stated goal is to reduce poverty by financing projects in areas including public administration, education, health, and infrastructure. The allocation of funds is based on each country's needs, capacity, and willingness to implement reforms in economic, social, and institutional areas.

IDA has repeatedly faced criticism for linking its aid to demands for political reforms that are perceived as externally imposed. Critics argue that this undermines national sovereignty and forces governments to implement reforms that lack both popular support and grounding in local needs and priorities.

Electric cars plummet in value – diesel holds up better than expected

Published 30 May 2025
– By Editorial Staff
The Kia E-Niro has a 53% depreciation in three years - as much as the Tesla Model Y Long Range. It is the largest depreciation of all car models compared.
2 minute read

Diesel cars have long been identified as losers in the transition to electric vehicles, but a new study shows that they actually retain their value better than electric cars.

Over a three-year period, the value of certain diesel models decreased by as little as €6500, compared to electric cars, where the loss in some cases amounted to as much as €35,000.

The study, conducted by Carup, covers five diesel cars and five electric cars, all around three years old and with a mileage of less than 100,000 km, and the results show clear differences in depreciation between the two drivetrains.

Among the diesel cars, the Audi A6 Avant and Skoda Kodiaq performed best, with a depreciation of less than 20 percent. The Volvo V60 Momentum lost the most among the diesels – 33 percent – but even that was better than most electric cars in the comparison. The original new price for the model was € 37,500.

According to the survey, demand for used diesel cars remains strong, which is partly explained by a limited supply of newer diesel models. Despite higher taxes and environmental charges that have negatively affected diesel cars for several years, there still seems to be considerable interest in them.

Among electric cars, the Tesla Model Y saw the biggest drop. The car, which had a new price of nearly €66,000, has lost more than half of its value in three years. The Kia E-Niro, Volkswagen ID.4, and Volvo XC40 Recharge also recorded a value loss of around 50 percent. The largest monetary loss was seen in the Tesla – a whopping €35,000 – although a previous Swedish climate bonus of €6,400 mitigated the loss somewhat.

Diesel popular – despite higher operating costs

The difference in value growth is believed to be due to diesel cars having a more established second-hand market, while uncertainty surrounding the long-term battery performance and technology of electric cars continues to influence purchasing behavior.

At the same time, owning a diesel car entails higher running costs. Fuel prices and vehicle tax mean that the operating costs of a diesel car often exceed those of an electric car, which is something many buyers take into account when deciding which car to buy.

Our comparison shows that diesel cars are not the losers many people thought they would be. They have withstood the decline in value significantly better than electric cars. On the other hand, drivers have had to pay significantly more for fuel and vehicle tax over three years compared to electric cars. It remains to be seen who will be the winner over the next three years for those buying a used car. Three years ago, not many people believed in diesel cars”, Carup concludes.

One in five young Swedish women see shopping as a hobby amid rising debt

Published 30 May 2025
– By Editorial Staff
Many young women say they shop "to feel better" - even though they can't really afford it.
2 minute read

Since 2015, Swedes’ total debts to the Swedish Enforcement Authority have increased by 50 percent – and young women account for the largest increase.

According to experts, the accumulation of debt is linked to the fact that as many as 22 percent of young women today consider shopping an important hobby – compared to only five percent of men.

– The figures are remarkably high. There is a problem in that they see it as entertainment, but also as a form of self-medication, says everyday economist Magnus Hjelmér on Swedish public television SVT.

One in five young women shops “to feel better” and one in ten say they “reward” themselves with shopping – even though they are aware that they cannot really afford it.

It is also noteworthy that around 20 percent of young Swedish adults prefer to buy things on credit or invoice rather than paying immediately at the time of purchase. This also causes young women to shop more than they otherwise would, and leads many into debt.

“Gaining happiness by buying things”

– Everyone shops. It’s not really strange. It’s stranger if you don’t have a shopping addiction. There are trends and everyone wants to have everything, so that’s just how it is, says Donja Mollazadeh, who admits that she shops as soon as she gets the chance.

It makes you happy, it’s like a dopamine rush you get inside. You feel good when you get new clothes and nice things, she continues.

Several young women the channel spoke to say they shop to make themselves “happy” or to “calm down” when they are stressed, and that they quickly tire of what they have just bought and want to shop even more.

– It’s about being a bit materialistic, maybe. That you get happiness from buying things, says Matilda Bergqvist.

“Reduce time on social media”

Magnus Hjelmér points out that there are several explanations for this negative trend. One is the rise of online shopping, which, together with easily accessible quick loans and credit, makes it very easy to shop plus, websites are designed so that it takes as few clicks as possible to make a purchase.

Influencers and social media are also singled out as culprits, and Hjelmér notes that huge sums of money are spent on marketing aimed primarily at young girls and women.

– One way to limit your shopping is actually to reduce the amount of time you spend on social media, he says, urging parents not to let their children save up for things they want to buy – and not to buy on credit.

Bitcoin reaches new record level – could become a safe haven

The new crypto economy

Published 23 May 2025
– By Editorial Staff
1 minute read

Bitcoin has broken a new record and is now trading at $111,196, having passed its January 2025 peak of $109,500. The rise, which began in the context of Donald Trump’s crypto-friendly presidency, has been boosted by regulatory tailwinds and institutional interest.

Christopher Kock, co-founder and CEO of Virtune, highlights Bitcoin’s growing role as a safe haven, like gold, in times of economic uncertainty. According to Kock, quoted by EFN, the price rise is being driven by institutional investors such as BlackRock and Fidelity, which are increasingly diversifying into Bitcoin.

He argues that the decentralized nature and limited supply of the cryptocurrency make it attractive, especially in a world of global instability. Kock believes that even small allocations from large players can drive the price up significantly more.

Despite the optimism, the volatility of the market is emphasized. Kock and other experts warn that speculation could lead to sharp corrections, although Bitcoin’s long-term potential as a digital asset is bolstered by growing confidence.

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